Aug 19, 2026
Braves vs. Twins prediction: Tight battle projected in updated analysis for Wednesday's MLB matchup [8/19/2026]
Read Article Marlins vs. Phillies prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [8/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins will meet in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday, starting at 6:05 PM ET.
The Phillies will start Aaron Nola (4-9, 5.33 ERA), up against Sandy Alcantara (13-7, 3.43 ERA) for the Marlins.
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Phillies as the most likely winner in this Marlins vs. Phillies prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Marlins vs. Phillies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Marlins and Phillies, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Phillies a 57.8% chance of beating the Marlins.
According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 59.4% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 54.3% chance of going over,.
Marlins vs. Phillies odds [8/19/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Marlins +1.5 (-170) / Phillies -1.5 (+170)
- Moneyline: Marlins +117, Phillies -120
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Marlins vs. Phillies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Phillies -1.5 @ +170 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Phillies @ -120 via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +100 via Polymarket
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Marlins vs. Phillies game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Marlins at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 6:05 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
- Time: 6:05 PM ET/3:05PM PT
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Conclusion
We predict the Phillies, with a 57.8% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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