Jul 22, 2026
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Read Article Marlins vs. Pirates prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [6/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Pittsburgh Pirates will square off with the Miami Marlins in MLB action at PNC Park on Sunday, starting at 12:15 PM ET.
The Pirates will start Paul Skenes (6-5, 2.84 ERA), while the Marlins have opted for Max Meyer (6-0, 2.85 ERA).
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Pirates as the most likely winner of the Marlins vs. Pirates game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Marlins vs. Pirates prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Marlins and Pirates, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Pirates a 60.3% chance of defeating the Marlins.
According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 57.4% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of seven runs has a 58.3% chance of going over,.
Marlins vs. Pirates odds [6/14/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Marlins | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-161) | -1.5 (+146) |
| Moneyline | +135 | -156 |
| Total | o7 (-120) | u7 (-101) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Marlins vs. Pirates picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Pirates -1.5 | +146 |
| Moneyline | Pirates | -156 |
| Total | Over 7 | -120 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Marlins vs. Pirates game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB game between the Pirates and Marlins at PNC Park is scheduled to start at 12:15 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
- Time: 12:15 PM ET/9:15AM PT
- Venue: PNC Park
Conclusion
We predict the Pirates, with a 60.3% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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