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Read Article Marlins vs. Cardinals prediction: St. Louis favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [6/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals predictions for MLB Sunday.
The St. Louis Cardinals and Miami Marlins will meet in MLB action at Busch Stadium on Sunday, starting at 2:15 PM ET.
Kyle Leahy (5-4, 4.24 ERA) will be on the bump for the Cardinals, while the Marlins have opted for Tyler Phillips (1-2, 3.09 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Cardinals a slight edge with a 54.3% win probability over the Marlins.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's Marlins vs. Cardinals matchup, including best bets and picks.
Marlins vs. Cardinals prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Marlins and Cardinals, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Cardinals a 54.3% chance of beating the Marlins.
According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 61.2% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 54.4% chance of going over,.
Marlins vs. Cardinals odds [6/28/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Marlins | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-190) | -1.5 (+158) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -122 |
| Total | o9 (-115) | u9 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Marlins vs. Cardinals picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Cardinals -1.5 | +158 |
| Moneyline | Cardinals | -122 |
| Total | Over 9 | -115 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Marlins vs. Cardinals game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB game between the Cardinals and Marlins at Busch Stadium is scheduled to commence at 2:15 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
- Time: 2:15 PM ET/11:15AM PT
- Venue: Busch Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Cardinals, with a 54.3% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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