Brewers vs. Mets prediction: Milwaukee favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [8/25/2026]

The New York Mets will face the Milwaukee Brewers, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Citi Field on Tuesday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.

The Mets will start Zac Thornton (3-4, 3.04 ERA), while the Brewers have opted for Kyle Harrison (10-3, 2.84 ERA).

Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Brewers a slight edge with a 54.3% win probability over the Mets.

This article offers a complete Brewers vs. Mets prediction, including best bets and picks.

For more, dive into Kyle Harrison's projected pitching stats.

Brewers vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's MLB game between the Brewers and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Brewers a 54.3% chance of beating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 59.2% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 54.5% chance of going over.

Brewers vs. Mets odds [8/25/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Run Line: Brewers -1.5 (+117) / Mets +1.5 (-120)
• Moneyline: Brewers -156, Mets +150

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Brewers vs. Mets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Run line: Mets +1.5 @ -120 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Mets @ +150 via FanDuel
• Total: Over 7.5 @ +108 via Novig

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Brewers vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Brewers at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM ET.

• Who: Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
• Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2026
• Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
• Venue: Citi Field

Conclusion

We predict the Brewers, with a 54.3% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Tuesday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.