Brewers vs. Mets prediction: Milwaukee favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [8/25/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Tuesday.

Milwaukee Brewers-New York Mets Predictions and Game Preview.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets MLB prediction for Tuesday, August 25, 2026.

The New York Mets will face the Milwaukee Brewers, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Citi Field on Tuesday, commencing at 7:10 PM ET.

Zac Thornton (3-4, 3.04 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mets, while the Brewers will counter with Kyle Harrison (10-3, 2.84 ERA).

Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Brewers a slight edge with a 54.3% win probability over the Mets.

This article offers a complete Brewers vs. Mets prediction, including best bets and picks.

For more, dive into Kyle Harrison's projected pitching stats.

Brewers vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Brewers and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Brewers a 54.3% chance of beating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 59.0% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 56.0% chance of going over.

 

Brewers vs. Mets odds [8/25/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Run Line: Brewers -1.5 (+115) / Mets +1.5 (-117)
  • Moneyline: Brewers -150, Mets +150

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Brewers vs. Mets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Run line: Mets +1.5 @ -117 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Mets @ +150 via DraftKings
  • Total: Over 7.5 @ +104 via Polymarket

According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Brewers vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Brewers at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 7:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Brewers, with a 54.3% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Tuesday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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