Brewers vs. Mets prediction: Milwaukee favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [8/27/2026]

The New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers will meet in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.

Sean Manaea (4-5, 4.31 ERA) will get the ball for the Mets, up against Jacob Misiorowski (13-5, 1.68 ERA) for the Brewers.

Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Brewers as the most likely winner in this Brewers vs. Mets prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

For more, dive into Jacob Misiorowski's projected pitching stats.

Brewers vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Brewers and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Brewers a 55.9% chance of defeating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 57.6% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 51.9% chance of going over.

Brewers vs. Mets odds [8/27/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Run Line: Brewers -1.5 (+104) / Mets +1.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Brewers -186, Mets +184

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Brewers vs. Mets picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Run line: Mets +1.5 @ -105 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Mets @ +184 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 7.5 @ +120 via DraftKings

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Brewers vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's MLB game between the Mets and Brewers at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 7:10 PM ET.

• Who: Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
• Date: Thursday, August 27, 2026
• Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
• Venue: Citi Field

Conclusion

We predict the Brewers, with a 55.9% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Thursday's MLB matchup.

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