Jul 23, 2026
MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Twins vs. Guardians play [7/23/2026]
Read Article Twins vs. Astros prediction: Houston favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros predictions for MLB Monday.
MLB action continues on Monday at 8:10 PM ET as the Minnesota Twins square off with the Houston Astros at Daikin Park.
The Astros will start Peter Lambert (6-4, 3.28 ERA), while the Twins have opted for Zebby Matthews (3-5, 4.56 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Astros as the most likely winner of the Twins vs. Astros game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Twins vs. Astros prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB game between the Twins and Astros, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Astros a 56.2% chance of defeating the Twins.
According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 61.2% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of nine runs has a 54.4% chance of going over,.
Twins vs. Astros odds [6/29/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Twins | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-172) | -1.5 (+149) |
| Moneyline | +118 | -134 |
| Total | o9 (-105) | u9 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Twins vs. Astros picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Astros -1.5 | +149 |
| Moneyline | Astros | -134 |
| Total | Over 9 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Twins vs. Astros game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB game between the Astros and Twins at Daikin Park is scheduled to commence at 8:10 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros
- Date: Monday, June 29, 2026
- Time: 8:10 PM ET/5:10PM PT
- Venue: Daikin Park
Conclusion
We predict the Astros, with a 56.2% win probability, will likely beat the Twins in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
