MLB picks today: Tuesday's MLB best bets include Red Sox vs. Blue Jays play [8/11/2026]

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Over 6.5 runs (-127)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 62.1%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 6.5 runs in Red Sox vs. Blue Jays at -127 odds. A 62.1% probability produces an edge of 6.1%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Over 9.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 53%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks over 9.5 runs carries a 6.0% edge and a probability of 53% at +113 odds, according to our model.

Brewers vs. Padres Over 7.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 54.9%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Brewers vs. Padres Over 7.5 runs at +104 odds shows a 5.9% edge, supported by a 54.9% probability in simulations.

Mets vs. Braves over 8.5 runs (-102)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

A 5.5% edge and 56% probability make Mets vs. Braves over 8.5 runs a value play in the Mets vs. Braves matchup, per our model.

Astros vs. Giants Over 7.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Matchup: Astros vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Astros vs. Giants Over 7.5 runs at -108 odds presents a 4.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56.8%.

Athletics ML (+150)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 44.8%
• Matchup: Rays vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Athletics to win at +150 odds, supported by an edge of 4.8%.

Reds vs. White Sox Over 8.5 runs (+111)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 51.9%
• Matchup: Reds vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Reds vs. White Sox Over 8.5 runs at +111 odds. A 51.9% probability produces a 4.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Royals vs. Dodgers Over 8.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 53.2%
• Matchup: Royals vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

A 4.2% edge on a 53.2% probability makes Over 8.5 runs at +104 odds a solid value play in today's Royals vs. Dodgers matchup.

Reds ML (+146)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 44.7%
• Matchup: Reds vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Our model projects value on Reds to win at +146 odds. A 44.7% probability produces a 4.1% edge, making Reds the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Rangers vs. Angels Over 9.5 runs (+115)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 50.2%
• Matchup: Rangers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Rangers vs. Angels Over 9.5 runs at +115 odds shows a 50.2% probability and a 3.7% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Tuesday, 8/11/2026

As of 8:00AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/11/2026]

• Guardians vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Pirates vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Cubs vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Mariners vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Tuesday)
• Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Tuesday)
• Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Tuesday)
• Orioles vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Reds vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Phillies vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Rangers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Tuesday)
• Brewers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Rockies vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Rays vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Astros vs. Giants (9:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Royals vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 11, 2026, featuring plays such as over 6.5 runs in the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup and over 9.5 runs in the Rockies vs. Diamondbacks matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.