MLB picks today: Wednesday's MLB best bets include Rays vs. Athletics play [8/12/2026]

Athletics +1.5 (+122)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 53.1%
• Matchup: Rays vs. Athletics (3:05PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Athletics +1.5 at +122 odds. A 53.1% probability produces an edge of 8.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Over 7.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays over 7.5 runs carries a 6.4% edge and a probability of 53.4% at +113 odds, according to our model.

Athletics ML (+189)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 41%
• Matchup: Rays vs. Athletics (3:05PM ET)

Athletics ML at +189 odds shows a 6.4% edge, supported by a 41% probability in simulations.

Orioles vs. Twins over 8.5 runs (-114)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 58.1%
• Matchup: Orioles vs. Twins (1:40PM ET)

A 4.9% edge and 58.1% probability make Orioles vs. Twins over 8.5 runs a value play in the Orioles vs. Twins matchup, per our model.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Over 9.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Diamondbacks (3:40PM ET)

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Over 9.5 runs at +108 odds presents a 4.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 52.8%.

Rangers vs. Angels Over 9.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 50.7%
• Matchup: Rangers vs. Angels (10:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 9.5 runs in Rangers vs. Angels at +117 odds, supported by an edge of 4.6%.

Mets vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 56.4%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Mets vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs at -108 odds. A 56.4% probability produces a 4.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Mariners vs. Yankees Over 8.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Matchup: Mariners vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

A 3.5% edge on a 55.4% probability makes Over 8.5 runs at -108 odds a solid value play in today's Mariners vs. Yankees matchup.

Padres +1.5 (-153)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Padres (4:10PM ET)

Our model projects value on Padres +1.5 at -153 odds. A 63.9% probability produces a 3.4% edge, making Padres the favorable side in today's matchup.

Padres ML (+108)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 50.9%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Padres (4:10PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Padres to defeat Brewers at +108 odds shows a 50.9% probability and a 2.9% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Wednesday, 8/12/2026

As of 8:02AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/12/2026]

• Orioles vs. Twins (1:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Phillies vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET, Wednesday)
• Rays vs. Athletics (3:05PM ET, Wednesday)
• Rockies vs. D-Backs (3:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Brewers vs. Padres (4:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Guardians vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Pirates vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Cubs vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Wednesday)
• Mariners vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Wednesday)
• Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Wednesday)
• Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Wednesday)
• Reds vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Royals vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Rangers vs. Angels (10:10PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 12, 2026, featuring plays such as Athletics +1.5 vs. Rays and over 7.5 runs in the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.