MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Red Sox vs. Blue Jays play [8/13/2026]

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Over 7.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 59%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Red Sox vs. Blue Jays at -108 odds. A 59% probability produces an edge of 7.1%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Rangers vs. Angels Over 7.5 runs (+106)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Matchup: Rangers vs. Angels (10:07PM ET)

Rangers vs. Angels over 7.5 runs carries a 6.5% edge and a probability of 55.1% at +106 odds, according to our model.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Over 8.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Brewers vs. Dodgers Over 8.5 runs at +108 odds shows a 6.2% edge, supported by a 54.2% probability in simulations.

Cubs vs. Nationals over 8.5 runs (-110)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Cubs vs. Nationals (4:05PM ET)

A 5.3% edge and 57.7% probability make Cubs vs. Nationals over 8.5 runs a value play in the Cubs vs. Nationals matchup, per our model.

Dodgers -1.5 (+156)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 44.3%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Dodgers -1.5 at +156 odds presents a 5.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 44.3%.

Dodgers ML (-133)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 61.4%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Dodgers to win at -133 odds, supported by an edge of 4.4%.

Phillies vs. Twins Over 8.5 runs (-104)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 54.9%
• Matchup: Phillies vs. Twins (7:30PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Phillies vs. Twins Over 8.5 runs at -104 odds. A 54.9% probability produces a 4.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Blue Jays ML (+133)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 46%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)

A 3.1% edge on a 46% probability makes Blue Jays to win at +133 odds a solid value play in today's Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup.

Blue Jays +1.5 (-127)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)

Our model projects value on Blue Jays +1.5 at -127 odds. A 58% probability produces a 2.0% edge, making Blue Jays the favorable side in today's matchup.

MLB best bets summary: Thursday, 8/13/2026

As of 1:23PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/13/2026]

• Mariners vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET, Thursday)
• Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET, Thursday)
• Cubs vs. Nationals (4:05PM ET, Thursday)
• Phillies vs. Twins (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Rangers vs. Angels (10:07PM ET, Thursday)
• Brewers vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 13, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Rangers vs. Angels matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.