MLB picks today: Sunday's MLB best bets include Yankees vs. Blue Jays play [8/16/2026]

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Over 7.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 54.1%
• Matchup: Yankees vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Yankees vs. Blue Jays at +117 odds. A 54.1% probability produces an edge of 8.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Pirates +1.5 (-144)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 64.5%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET)

Pirates +1.5 carries a 5.5% edge and a probability of 64.5% at -144 odds, according to our model.

Dodgers -1.5 (+133)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 48.1%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET)

Dodgers -1.5 vs. Brewers at +133 odds shows a 5.1% edge, supported by a 48.1% probability in simulations.

White Sox vs. Tigers over 7.5 runs (-115)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: White Sox vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET)

A 4.9% edge and 58.4% probability make White Sox vs. Tigers over 7.5 runs a value play in the White Sox vs. Tigers matchup, per our model.

Dodgers ML (-163)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 66.8%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET)

Dodgers ML at -163 odds presents a 4.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 66.8%.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Over 7.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 7.5 runs in Brewers vs. Dodgers at +108 odds, supported by an edge of 4.7%.

Diamondbacks vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Braves (1:35PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Diamondbacks vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs at -113 odds. A 57.6% probability produces a 4.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Athletics ML (+130)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 47.8%
• Matchup: Rangers vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET)

A 4.3% edge on a 47.8% probability makes Athletics to win at +130 odds a solid value play in today's Rangers vs. Athletics matchup.

Pirates ML (+108)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 52.4%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET)

Our model projects value on Pirates to win at +108 odds. A 52.4% probability produces a 4.3% edge, making Pirates the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Padres vs. Guardians Over 8.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Matchup: Padres vs. Guardians (1:40PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Padres vs. Guardians Over 8.5 runs at +113 odds shows a 51.1% probability and a 4.1% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Sunday, 8/16/2026

As of 4:55AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/16/2026]

• Orioles vs. Rays (12:15PM ET, Sunday)
• Red Sox vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• D-Backs vs. Braves (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Yankees vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET, Sunday)
• Nationals vs. Mets (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• White Sox vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Padres vs. Guardians (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Marlins vs. Reds (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Phillies vs. Twins (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Cardinals vs. Cubs (3:15PM ET, Sunday)
• Rangers vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
• Rockies vs. Giants (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
• Royals vs. Angels (4:07PM ET, Sunday)
• Brewers vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Mariners vs. Astros (7:20PM ET, Sunday)

Elevate Your Betting Game With Dimers Pro

Discover the difference our best bets make with Dimers Pro. Check out this explainer video to see how you can gain an edge.

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 16, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Yankees vs. Blue Jays matchup and Pirates +1.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.