MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Dodgers vs. Rockies play [8/17/2026]
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Monday, August 17, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for August 17, 2026 are here, with Dodgers vs. Rockies and Braves vs. Twins among the top plays identified by our model across Monday’s MLB schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest baseball odds to find genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [8/17, updated 7:15AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 MLB best bets, ranked by edge for Monday, August 17, 2026.
Dodgers vs. Rockies Over 10.5 runs (-111)
- Edge: 5.9%
- Probability: 58.5%
- Matchup: Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 10.5 runs in Dodgers vs. Rockies at -111 odds. A 58.5% probability produces an edge of 5.9%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Braves vs. Twins Over 9.5 runs (+113)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 52.6%
- Matchup: Braves vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)
Braves vs. Twins over 9.5 runs carries a 5.7% edge and a probability of 52.6% at +113 odds, according to our model.
Athletics vs. Royals Over 9.5 runs (+117)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 50.1%
- Matchup: Athletics vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)
Athletics vs. Royals Over 9.5 runs at +117 odds shows a 4.0% edge, supported by a 50.1% probability in simulations.
Orioles vs. Rays over 7.5 runs (-106)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 55.1%
- Matchup: Orioles vs. Rays (6:05PM ET)
A 3.7% edge and 55.1% probability make Orioles vs. Rays over 7.5 runs a value play in the Orioles vs. Rays matchup, per our model.
Pirates ML (+111)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 51.1%
- Matchup: Tigers vs. Pirates (7:05PM ET)
Pirates ML at +111 odds presents a 3.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 51.1%.
Padres vs. Mets Over 8.5 runs (+117)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 49.7%
- Matchup: Padres vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in Padres vs. Mets at +117 odds, supported by an edge of 3.6%.
Pirates +1.5 (-150)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 63.6%
- Matchup: Tigers vs. Pirates (7:05PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Pirates +1.5 at -150 odds. A 63.6% probability produces a 3.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Twins ML (+117)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 49.6%
- Matchup: Braves vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)
A 3.6% edge on a 49.6% probability makes Twins to win at +117 odds a solid value play in today's Braves vs. Twins matchup.
Twins +1.5 (-138)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 61.5%
- Matchup: Braves vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)
Our model projects value on Twins +1.5 at -138 odds. A 61.5% probability produces a 3.5% edge, making Twins the favorable side in today's matchup.
White Sox vs. Cubs Over 8.5 runs (+113)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 49.7%
- Matchup: White Sox vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, White Sox vs. Cubs Over 8.5 runs at +113 odds shows a 49.7% probability and a 2.8% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Monday, 8/17/2026
As of 7:15AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers vs. Rockies | Over 10.5 runs | -111 @ Novig | 5.9% | 58.5% |
| Braves vs. Twins | Over 9.5 runs | +113 @ Polymarket | 5.7% | 52.6% |
| Athletics vs. Royals | Over 9.5 Runs | +117 @ Polymarket | 4.0% | 50.1% |
| Orioles vs. Rays | Over 7.5 runs | -106 @ Novig | 3.7% | 55.1% |
| Tigers vs. Pirates | Pirates ML | +111 @ Novig | 3.7% | 51.1% |
| Padres vs. Mets | Over 8.5 Runs | +117 @ Polymarket | 3.6% | 49.7% |
| Tigers vs. Pirates | Pirates +1.5 | -150 @ Polymarket | 3.6% | 63.6% |
| Braves vs. Twins | Twins ML | +117 @ Novig | 3.6% | 49.6% |
| Braves vs. Twins | Twins +1.5 | -138 @ Novig | 3.5% | 61.5% |
| White Sox vs. Cubs | Over 8.5 Runs | +113 @ Novig | 2.8% | 49.7% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/17/2026]
- Orioles vs. Rays (6:05PM ET, Monday)
- Marlins vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Monday)
- Tigers vs. Pirates (7:05PM ET, Monday)
- Padres vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Monday)
- Braves vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Monday)
- Athletics vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Monday)
- White Sox vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET, Monday)
- Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Monday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 17, 2026, featuring plays such as over 10.5 runs in the Dodgers vs. Rockies matchup and over 9.5 runs in the Braves vs. Twins matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
