MLB picks today: Wednesday's MLB best bets include Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox play [8/19/2026]

Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox at +113 odds. A 55.3% probability produces an edge of 8.3%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Mariners vs. Brewers Over 7.5 runs (+120)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 52.1%
• Matchup: Mariners vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

Mariners vs. Brewers over 7.5 runs carries a 6.7% edge and a probability of 52.1% at +120 odds, according to our model.

Giants vs. Guardians Over 7.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 52.5%
• Matchup: Giants vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET)

Giants vs. Guardians Over 7.5 runs at +117 odds shows a 6.4% edge, supported by a 52.5% probability in simulations.

Dodgers vs. Rockies over 11.5 runs (+111)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 53.1%
• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

A 5.7% edge and 53.1% probability make Dodgers vs. Rockies over 11.5 runs a value play in the Dodgers vs. Rockies matchup, per our model.

Nationals vs. Rangers Over 7.5 runs (-106)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 56.7%
• Matchup: Nationals vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Nationals vs. Rangers Over 7.5 runs at -106 odds presents a 5.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56.7%.

Braves vs. Twins Over 8.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: Braves vs. Twins (1:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in Braves vs. Twins at -108 odds, supported by an edge of 5.0%.

Yankees vs. Orioles Over 9 runs (-109)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: Yankees vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Yankees vs. Orioles Over 9 runs at -109 odds. A 56.9% probability produces a 4.8% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Athletics vs. Royals Over 8.5 runs (-103)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.2%
• Matchup: Athletics vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)

A 4.4% edge on a 55.2% probability makes Over 8.5 runs at -103 odds a solid value play in today's Athletics vs. Royals matchup.

Marlins vs. PhilliesOver 8.5 runs (+100)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Matchup: Marlins vs. Phillies (6:05PM ET)

Our model projects value on Over 8.5 runs at +100 odds. A 54.3% probability produces a 4.3% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.

Angels vs. Astros Over 8.5 runs (+100)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 54%
• Matchup: Angels vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Angels vs. Astros Over 8.5 runs at +100 odds shows a 54% probability and a 4.0% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Wednesday, 8/19/2026

As of 7:30AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/19/2026]

• Tigers vs. Pirates (12:35PM ET, Wednesday)
• Padres vs. Mets (1:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Braves vs. Twins (1:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• White Sox vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Wednesday)
• D-Backs vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Marlins vs. Phillies (6:05PM ET, Wednesday)
• Yankees vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET, Wednesday)
• Cardinals vs. Reds (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Blue Jays vs. Rays (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Giants vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Mariners vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Athletics vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Nationals vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Wednesday)
• Angels vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 19, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Mariners vs. Brewers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.