MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Brewers vs. Mets play [8/27/2026]

Mets ML (+203)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 43%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Mets to defeat Brewers at +203 odds. A 43% probability produces an edge of 10.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Royals vs. Blue Jays Over 8.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 56.2%
• Matchup: Royals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Royals vs. Blue Jays over 8.5 runs carries an 8.1% edge and a probability of 56.2% at +108 odds, according to our model.

Mets +1.5 (+108)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 56.1%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)

Mets +1.5 vs. Brewers at +108 odds shows a 8.0% edge, supported by a 56.1% probability in simulations.

Dodgers vs. Braves over 6.5 runs (-117)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 60.3%
• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

A 6.4% edge and 60.3% probability make Dodgers vs. Braves over 6.5 runs a value play in the Dodgers vs. Braves matchup, per our model.

Brewers vs. Mets Over 7.5 runs (+120)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 51.2%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)

Brewers vs. Mets Over 7.5 runs at +120 odds presents a 5.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 51.2%.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Over 7.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 7.5 runs in Diamondbacks vs. Giants at -113 odds, supported by an edge of 5.6%.

Astros vs. Yankees Over 8.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Matchup: Astros vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Astros vs. Yankees Over 8.5 runs at +104 odds. A 53.7% probability produces a 4.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Astros ML (+147)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 44.7%
• Matchup: Astros vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

A 4.2% edge on a 44.7% probability makes Astros to win at +147 odds a solid value play in today's Astros vs. Yankees matchup.

Giants ML (+101)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 52.9%
• Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Our model projects value on Giants to win at +101 odds. A 52.9% probability produces a 3.2% edge, making Giants the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Rockies vs. Nationals Over 9.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Nationals (1:05PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Rockies vs. Nationals Over 9.5 runs at +104 odds shows a 51.7% probability and a 2.7% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Thursday, 8/27/2026

As of 2:36AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/27/2026]

• Rockies vs. Nationals (1:05PM ET, Thursday)
• Astros vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Thursday)
• Royals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Thursday)
• Brewers vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Thursday)
• Dodgers vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Thursday)
• D-Backs vs. Giants (9:45PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 27, 2026, featuring plays such as Mets ML vs. Brewers and over 8.5 runs in the Royals vs. Blue Jays matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.