MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Phillies vs. Diamondbacks play [8/31/2026]

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Phillies vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Phillies vs. Diamondbacks at +108 odds. A 55.3% probability produces an edge of 7.3%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Athletics vs. Rangers Over 7.5 runs (+100)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Matchup: Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Athletics vs. Rangers over 7.5 runs carries a 7.2% edge and a probability of 57.2% at +100 odds, according to our model.

Astros -1.5 (+170)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 42.4%
• Matchup: White Sox vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

Astros -1.5 vs. White Sox at +170 odds shows a 5.4% edge, supported by a 42.4% probability in simulations.

Tigers vs. Twins over 8.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 54.1%
• Matchup: Tigers vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

A 5.1% edge and 54.1% probability make Tigers vs. Twins over 8.5 runs a value play in the Tigers vs. Twins matchup, per our model.

Mariners vs. Red Sox Over 7.5 runs (-117)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Matchup: Mariners vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET)

Mariners vs. Red Sox Over 7.5 runs at -117 odds presents a 4.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.6%.

Yankees vs. Angels Over 8.5 runs (-104)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Matchup: Yankees vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in Yankees vs. Angels at -104 odds, supported by an edge of 4.5%.

Mets ML (+156)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 43.5%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Rays (6:40PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Mets-Rays to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +156 odds. A 43.5% probability produces a 4.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Orioles vs. Rockies Over 10.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Orioles vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

A 4.3% edge on a 57.3% probability makes Over 10.5 runs at -113 odds a solid value play in today's Orioles vs. Rockies matchup.

Athletics ML (+199)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 37.4%
• Matchup: Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Our model projects value on Athletics to win at +199 odds. A 37.4% probability produces a 4.0% edge, making Athletics the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Astros ML (-122)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Matchup: White Sox vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Astros to defeat White Sox at -122 odds shows a 58.7% probability and a 3.7% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Monday, 8/31/2026

As of 2:20AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/31/2026]

• Mets vs. Rays (6:40PM ET, Monday)
• Padres vs. Reds (6:40PM ET, Monday)
• Mariners vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET, Monday)
• Tigers vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Monday)
• Brewers vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET, Monday)
• Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Monday)
• White Sox vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Monday)
• Orioles vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Monday)
• Yankees vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Monday)
• Phillies vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 31, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Athletics vs. Rangers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.