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Read Article MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Athletics vs. Rangers play [8/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Monday, August 31, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for August 31, 2026 are here, with Athletics vs. Rangers and Phillies vs. Diamondbacks among the top plays identified by our model across Monday’s MLB schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest baseball odds to uncover legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [8/31, updated 6:20AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 MLB best bets, ranked by edge for Monday, August 31, 2026.
Athletics vs. Rangers Over 7.5 runs (+111)
- Edge: 9.4%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Matchup: Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Athletics vs. Rangers at +111 odds. A 56.8% probability produces an edge of 9.4%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs (+108)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Matchup: Phillies vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks over 8.5 runs carries a 7.3% edge and a probability of 55.3% at +108 odds, according to our model.
Mets ML (+163)
- Edge: 5.5%
- Probability: 43.5%
- Matchup: Mets vs. Rays (6:40PM ET)
Mets ML at +163 odds shows a 5.5% edge, supported by a 43.5% probability in simulations.
Mariners vs. Red Sox over 7.5 runs (-114)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 58.4%
- Matchup: Mariners vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET)
A 5.2% edge and 58.4% probability make Mariners vs. Red Sox over 7.5 runs a value play in the Mariners vs. Red Sox matchup, per our model.
Orioles vs. Rockies Over 10.5 runs (-113)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 57.6%
- Matchup: Orioles vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)
Orioles vs. Rockies Over 10.5 runs at -113 odds presents a 4.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.6%.
Astros -1.5 (+163)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 42.4%
- Matchup: White Sox vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on Astros -1.5 at +163 odds, supported by an edge of 4.4%.
Tigers vs. Twins Over 8.5 runs (+100)
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 54.2%
- Matchup: Tigers vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Tigers vs. Twins Over 8.5 runs at +100 odds. A 54.2% probability produces a 4.2% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Yankees vs. Angels Over 8 runs (-110)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 56.4%
- Matchup: Yankees vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)
A 4.0% edge on a 56.4% probability makes Over 8 runs at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Yankees vs. Angels matchup.
Athletics ML (+197)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 37.4%
- Matchup: Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
Our model projects value on Athletics to win at +197 odds. A 37.4% probability produces a 3.8% edge, making Athletics the favorable ML play in today's matchup.
Astros ML (-122)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 58.7%
- Matchup: White Sox vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Astros to defeat White Sox at -122 odds shows a 58.7% probability and a 3.7% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Monday, 8/31/2026
As of 6:20AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics vs. Rangers | Over 7.5 runs | +111 @ Novig | 9.4% | 56.8% |
| Phillies vs. Diamondbacks | Over 8.5 runs | +108 @ Polymarket | 7.3% | 55.3% |
| Mets vs. Rays | Mets ML | +163 @ Polymarket | 5.5% | 43.5% |
| Mariners vs. Red Sox | Over 7.5 runs | -114 @ BetRivers | 5.2% | 58.4% |
| Orioles vs. Rockies | Over 10.5 Runs | -113 @ Polymarket | 4.6% | 57.6% |
| White Sox vs. Astros | Astros -1.5 | +163 @ Novig | 4.4% | 42.4% |
| Tigers vs. Twins | Over 8.5 Runs | +100 @ Polymarket | 4.2% | 54.2% |
| Yankees vs. Angels | Over 8 Runs | -110 @ BetRivers | 4.0% | 56.4% |
| Athletics vs. Rangers | Athletics ML | +197 @ DraftKings | 3.8% | 37.4% |
| White Sox vs. Astros | Astros ML | -122 @ Polymarket | 3.7% | 58.7% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/31/2026]
- Mets vs. Rays (6:40PM ET, Monday)
- Padres vs. Reds (6:40PM ET, Monday)
- Mariners vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET, Monday)
- Tigers vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Monday)
- Brewers vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET, Monday)
- Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Monday)
- White Sox vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Monday)
- Orioles vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Monday)
- Yankees vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Monday)
- Phillies vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Monday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 31, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Athletics vs. Rangers matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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