MLB picks today: Friday's MLB best bets include Mariners vs. Rangers play [7/24/2026]

Mariners vs. Rangers Over 7.5 runs (-102)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Mariners vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Mariners vs. Rangers at -102 odds. A 56% probability produces an edge of 5.5%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Over 9.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 54.4%
• Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)

Diamondbacks vs. Nationals over 9.5 runs carries a 5.4% edge and a probability of 54.4% at +104 odds, according to our model.

Braves vs. Orioles Over 9.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 51.4%
• Matchup: Braves vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET)

Braves vs. Orioles Over 9.5 runs at +117 odds shows a 5.3% edge, supported by a 51.4% probability in simulations.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox over 8.5 runs (-102)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 55.2%
• Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Red Sox (7:15PM ET)

A 4.7% edge and 55.2% probability make Blue Jays vs. Red Sox over 8.5 runs a value play in the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox matchup, per our model.

Astros vs. White Sox Over 8.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Matchup: Astros vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Astros vs. White Sox Over 8.5 runs at -108 odds presents a 4.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56.5%.

Reds vs. Cardinals Over 8.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 51.9%
• Matchup: Reds vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in Reds vs. Cardinals at +108 odds, supported by an edge of 3.9%.

Astros ML (+127)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 47.9%
• Matchup: Astros vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Astros-White Sox to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +127 odds. A 47.9% probability produces a 3.8% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Rockies vs. Brewers Over 8.5 runs (-104)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Brewers (4:10PM ET)

A 3.7% edge on a 54.7% probability makes Over 8.5 runs at -104 odds a solid value play in today's Rockies vs. Brewers matchup.

Mets ML (+138)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 45.7%
• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)

Our model projects value on Mets to win at +138 odds. A 45.7% probability produces a 3.7% edge, making Mets the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Cubs vs. Pirates Over 8.5 runs (+115)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 50.2%
• Matchup: Cubs vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Cubs vs. Pirates Over 8.5 runs at +115 odds shows a 50.2% probability and a 3.7% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Friday, 7/24/2026

As of 1:06AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/24/2026]

• Rockies vs. Brewers (4:10PM ET, Friday)
• Royals vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• Cubs vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• D-Backs vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
• Yankees vs. Phillies (6:45PM ET, Friday)
• Braves vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET, Friday)
• Dodgers vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Guardians vs. Rays (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Blue Jays vs. Red Sox (7:15PM ET, Friday)
• Astros vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Friday)
• Mariners vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Friday)
• Athletics vs. Twins (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Reds vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET, Friday)
• Angels vs. Giants (10:15PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 24, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Mariners vs. Rangers matchup and over 9.5 runs in the Diamondbacks vs. Nationals matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.