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Read Article MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks play [6/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Thursday, June 4, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for June 4, 2026 are here, with Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks and Pirates vs. Braves among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s MLB play.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest baseball odds to uncover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets tonight [6/4, updated 8:04PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, June 4, 2026.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks over 8.5 runs (-120)
- Edge: 10.0%
- Probability: 64.5%
- Matchup: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)
Our model has identified value on over 8.5 runs in Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks at -120 odds. A 64.5% probability produces an edge of 10.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Pirates vs. Braves over 8.5 runs (-102)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 56.3%
- Matchup: Pirates vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Friday)
Pirates vs. Braves over 8.5 runs carries a 5.8% edge and a probability of 56.3% at -102 odds, according to our model.
Tigers ML (+125)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 49.3%
- Matchup: Mariners vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Friday)
Tigers ML at +125 odds shows a 4.8% edge, supported by a 49.3% probability in simulations.
Tigers +1.5 (-141)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 62%
- Matchup: Mariners vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Friday)
A 3.5% edge and 62% probability make Tigers +1.5 vs. Mariners at a value play in the Mariners vs. Tigers matchup, per our model.
Red Sox vs. Yankees over 7.5 runs (-117)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 57.5%
- Matchup: Red Sox vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Friday)
Red Sox vs. Yankees over 7.5 runs at -117 odds presents a 3.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.5%.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays over 8 runs (-116)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 57.1%
- Matchup: Orioles vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Friday)
Our model finds value on over 8 runs in Orioles vs. Blue Jays at -116 odds, supported by an edge of 3.4%.
Marlins ML (+133)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 45.9%
- Matchup: Rays vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET, Friday)
Our model has uncovered value on Marlins ML at +133 odds. A 45.9% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Giants vs. Cubs under 11 runs (+100)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 52.3%
- Matchup: Giants vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
A 2.3% edge on a 52.3% probability makes under 11 runs at +100 odds a solid value play in today's Giants vs. Cubs matchup.
Giants ML (+160)
- Edge: 2.1%
- Probability: 40.6%
- Matchup: Giants vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
Our model projects value on Giants to win at +160 odds. A 40.6% probability produces a 2.1% edge, making Giants the favorable ML play in today's matchup.
Rays vs. Marlins over 8.5 runs (+135)
- Edge: 2.0%
- Probability: 44.5%
- Matchup: Rays vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET, Friday)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Rays vs. Marlins over 8.5 runs at +135 odds shows a 44.5% probability and a 2.0% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Thursday, 6/4/2026
As of 8:04PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks | Over 8.5 Runs | -120 @ Kalshi | 10.0% | 64.5% |
| Pirates vs. Braves | Over 8.5 Runs | -102 @ Polymarket | 5.8% | 56.3% |
| Mariners vs. Tigers | Tigers ML | +125 @ Kalshi | 4.8% | 49.3% |
| Mariners vs. Tigers | Tigers +1.5 | -141 @ Kalshi | 3.5% | 62% |
| Red Sox vs. Yankees | Over 7.5 Runs | -117 @ Kalshi | 3.5% | 57.5% |
| Orioles vs. Blue Jays | Over 8 Runs | -116 @ Fanatics | 3.4% | 57.1% |
| Rays vs. Marlins | Marlins ML | +133 @ Kalshi | 2.9% | 45.9% |
| Giants vs. Cubs | Under 11 Runs | +100 @ Fanatics | 2.3% | 52.3% |
| Giants vs. Cubs | Giants ML | +160 @ Polymarket | 2.1% | 40.6% |
| Rays vs. Marlins | Over 8.5 Runs | +135 @ Polymarket | 2.0% | 44.5% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [6/4/2026]
- Athletics vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET, Thursday)
- Pirates vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Thursday)
- Dodgers vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Thursday)
- Giants vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
- Mariners vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Friday)
- White Sox vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Friday)
- Red Sox vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Friday)
- Orioles vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Friday)
- Rays vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET, Friday)
- Pirates vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for June 4, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Pirates vs. Braves matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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