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Read Article MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Royals vs. Tigers play [7/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Thursday, July 23, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for July 23, 2026 are here, with Royals vs. Tigers among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s MLB action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest baseball odds to discover legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [7/23, updated 5:13PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s best baseball bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, July 23, 2026.
Royals vs. Tigers Over 8.5 runs (+104)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 54.7%
- Matchup: Royals vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Royals vs. Tigers at +104 odds. A 54.7% probability produces an edge of 5.7%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Royals ML (+203)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 36.5%
- Matchup: Royals vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)
Royals ML carries a 3.5% edge and a probability of 36.5% at +203 odds, according to our model.
Royals +1.5 (+100)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 53%
- Matchup: Royals vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)
Royals +1.5 vs. Tigers at +100 odds shows a 3.0% edge, supported by a 53% probability in simulations.
MLB best bets summary: Thursday, 7/23/2026
As of 5:13PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals vs. Tigers | Over 8.5 runs | +104 @ Polymarket | 5.7% | 54.7% |
| Royals vs. Tigers | Royals ML | +203 @ Polymarket | 3.5% | 36.5% |
| Royals vs. Tigers | Royals +1.5 | +100 @ Polymarket | 3.0% | 53% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/23/2026]
- D-Backs vs. Cardinals (5:15PM ET, Thursday)
- Royals vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Thursday)
- Rockies vs. Brewers (4:10PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 23, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Royals vs. Tigers matchup and Royals ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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