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Read Article MLB picks today: Tuesday's MLB best bets include Cubs vs. Braves play [5/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Tuesday, May 12, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for May 12, 2026 are here, with Cubs vs. Braves and Rockies vs. Pirates among the top plays identified by our model across Tuesday’s MLB action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest baseball odds to find legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets tonight [5/12, updated 9:35PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Tuesday, May 12, 2026.
Cubs vs. Braves over 7.5 runs (+100)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 57.3%
- Matchup: Cubs vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Wednesday)
Our model has identified value on over 7.5 runs in Cubs vs. Braves at +100 odds. A 57.3% probability produces an edge of 7.3%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Rockies vs. Pirates over 8.5 runs (+104)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Matchup: Rockies vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
Rockies vs. Pirates over 8.5 runs carries a 6.3% edge and a probability of 55.3% at +104 odds, according to our model.
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers over 8.5 runs (-104)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Wednesday)
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers over 8.5 runs at -104 odds shows a 5.8% edge, supported by a 56.8% probability in simulations.
Angels vs. Guardians over 6.5 runs (-127)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 61.8%
- Matchup: Angels vs. Guardians (1:10PM ET, Wednesday)
A 5.8% edge and 61.8% probability make Angels vs. Guardians over 6.5 runs at a value play in the Angels vs. Guardians matchup, per our model.
Royals vs. White Sox over 7.5 runs (-117)
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 58.9%
- Matchup: Royals vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
Royals vs. White Sox over 7.5 runs at -117 odds presents a 4.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.9%.
Padres vs. Brewers over 7.5 runs (+113)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 51.6%
- Matchup: Padres vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
Our model finds value on over 7.5 runs in Padres vs. Brewers at +113 odds, supported by an edge of 4.6%.
Angels ML (+138)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 46.4%
- Matchup: Angels vs. Guardians (1:10PM ET, Wednesday)
Our model has uncovered value on Angels ML at +138 odds. A 46.4% probability produces a 4.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Rays vs. Blue Jays over 7.5 runs (+104)
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 53.2%
- Matchup: Rays vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Wednesday)
A 4.2% edge on a 53.2% probability makes over 7.5 runs at +104 odds a solid value play in today's Rays vs. Blue Jays matchup.
Giants vs. Dodgers over 8.5 runs (+106)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 52.3%
- Matchup: Giants vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Tuesday)
Our model projects value on over 8.5 runs at +106 odds. A 52.3% probability produces a 3.8% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.
Phillies vs. Red Sox over 8.5 runs (-113)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Matchup: Phillies vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET, Wednesday)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Phillies vs. Red Sox over 8.5 runs at -113 odds shows a 56.8% probability and a 3.8% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Tuesday, 5/12/2026
As of 9:35PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs vs. Braves | Over 7.5 Runs | +100 @ polymarket | 7.3% | 57.3% |
| Rockies vs. Pirates | Over 8.5 Runs | +104 @ polymarket | 6.3% | 55.3% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Rangers | Over 8.5 Runs | -104 @ polymarket | 5.8% | 56.8% |
| Angels vs. Guardians | Over 6.5 Runs | -127 @ polymarket | 5.8% | 61.8% |
| Royals vs. White Sox | Over 7.5 Runs | -117 @ kalshi | 4.9% | 58.9% |
| Padres vs. Brewers | Over 7.5 Runs | +113 @ kalshi | 4.6% | 51.6% |
| Angels vs. Guardians | Angels ML | +138 @ kalshi | 4.4% | 46.4% |
| Rays vs. Blue Jays | Over 7.5 Runs | +104 @ polymarket | 4.2% | 53.2% |
| Giants vs. Dodgers | Over 8.5 Runs | +106 @ polymarket | 3.8% | 52.3% |
| Phillies vs. Red Sox | Over 8.5 Runs | -113 @ kalshi | 3.8% | 56.8% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [5/12/2026]
- Cardinals vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Giants vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Tuesday)
- Angels vs. Guardians (1:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Rockies vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
- Nationals vs. Reds (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
- Phillies vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET, Wednesday)
- Rays vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Wednesday)
- Tigers vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Cubs vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Wednesday)
- Padres vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
- Marlins vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
- Royals vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
- D-Backs vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Wednesday)
- Mariners vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Wednesday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for May 12, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Cubs vs. Braves matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Rockies vs. Pirates matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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