MLB picks today: Wednesday's MLB best bets include Marlins vs. Astros play [7/22/2026]

Add Dimers on Google
profile-img
Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get MLB picks today and best bets for Wednesday, July 22, 2026.

MLB Best Bets.
These MLB betting picks for July 22, 2026, are based on the latest odds and probabilities for Wednesday's games.

Today’s MLB picks for July 22, 2026 are here, with Marlins vs. Astros and Tigers vs. Cubs among the top plays identified by our model across Wednesday’s MLB play.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest baseball odds to unearth real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of MLB best bets tonight [7/22, updated 7:54PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s best baseball bets, ranked by edge for Wednesday, July 22, 2026.

Marlins -1.5 (+174)

Our model has identified value on Marlins -1.5 at +174 odds. A 42.2% probability produces an edge of 5.7%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

 

Tigers vs. Cubs Over 7.5 runs (-117)

Tigers vs. Cubs over 7.5 runs carries a 3.9% edge and a probability of 57.8% at -117 odds, according to our model.

 

Marlins vs. Astros Over 8.5 runs (+111)

Marlins vs. Astros Over 8.5 runs at +111 odds shows a 3.7% edge, supported by a 51.1% probability in simulations.

 

Astros ML (-108)

A 2.5% edge and 53.6% probability makes Astros at the moneyline a value play in the Marlins vs. Astros matchup, per our model.

 

MLB best bets summary: Wednesday, 7/22/2026

As of 7:54PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup Bet Odds Edge Probability
Marlins vs. Astros Marlins -1.5 +174 @ Novig 5.7% 42.2%
Tigers vs. Cubs Over 7.5 runs -117 @ Novig 3.9% 57.8%
Marlins vs. Astros Over 8.5 Runs +111 @ Novig 3.7% 51.1%
Marlins vs. Astros Astros ML -108 @ Polymarket 2.5% 53.6%
 

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/22/2026]

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 22, 2026, featuring plays such as Marlins -1.5 vs. Astros and over 7.5 runs in the Tigers vs. Cubs matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

profile-img
Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

Advertiser disclosure

Related Articles

More Articles
Dimers Sports
Mariners vs. Athletics prediction: Why Seattle is favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [9/11/2026]
Read Article
Dimers Sports
Guardians vs. Twins prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [9/11/2026]
Read Article
Dimers Sports
Rockies vs. Tigers prediction: Detroit favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [9/11/2026]
Read Article