Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber [8/18/2026]

Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, August 18, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Tuesday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for August 18, 2026

See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one value pick the model rates as value at +475.

• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 27.3% probability
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 21.8%
• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 21.1%
• Eugenio Suárez (Reds): 20.7%
• Kyle Tucker (Dodgers): 20.3%
• Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers): 19.7%
• Max Muncy (Dodgers): 19.5%
• Byron Buxton (Twins): 18.8%
• Christian Walker (Astros): 17.9%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.8%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 27.3% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (21.8%) and Yordan Alvarez (21.1%).

Eugenio Suárez and Kyle Tucker are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Tuesday's home run picks [8/18/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 20.3%
• Odds: +475
• Edge: 2.9%
• Pitching matchup: Ryan Feltner
• More game projections: Dodgers vs. Rockies prediction (8:40 PM EDT)

Ranked among today’s top five home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +475 with BetRivers, showing a 2.9% edge.

Set to face Ryan Feltner in tonight's Dodgers-Rockies matchup, the data supports Tucker as one of Tuesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props — and a natural fit for Dinger Tuesday, when bettors look for value in home run props across a packed MLB slate.

Originally sparked by sportsbook offers rewarding bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has evolved into a weekly tradition for MLB bettors — where clear, model-driven insights like these can help separate signal from noise.

Pro users have access to a total of eight home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 18, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Yordan Alvarez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.9% edge at +475 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Tuesday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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