Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Byron Buxton, Yordan Alvarez [8/25/2026]

• Byron Buxton (Twins): 22.6% probability
• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 21.8%
• Royce Lewis (Twins): 17.9%
• Kody Clemens (Twins): 17.4%
• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 17.2%
• Jo Adell (Guardians): 17.0%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.0%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 16.9%
• Eugenio Suárez (Reds): 16.8%
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 16.8%

Our analysis shows Buxton leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.6% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (21.8%) and Royce Lewis (17.9%).

Kody Clemens and Yordan Alvarez are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Tuesday's home run picks [8/25/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and weighing key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Eugenio Suárez (Reds) to hit a home run

• Probability: 16.9%
• Odds: +650
• Edge: 3.5%
• Pitching matchup: Adrian Houser
• More game projections: Reds vs. Giants prediction (9:45 PM EDT)

Ranked among today’s top 10 home run projections, Cincinnati slugger Eugenio Suárez rates as a value play at +650 with Fanatics, showing a 3.5% edge.

Against Giants starter Adrian Houser, the data supports Suárez as one of Tuesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props — and a natural fit for Dinger Tuesday, when bettors look for value in home run props across a packed MLB slate.

Originally sparked by sportsbook offers rewarding bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has evolved into a weekly tradition for MLB bettors — where clear, model-driven insights like these can help separate signal from noise.

Pro users have access to a total of nine home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 25, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Byron Buxton, Shohei Ohtani and Royce Lewis projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Eugenio Suárez who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.5% edge at +650 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Tuesday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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