Home run predictions for Friday include Shohei Ohtani, Hunter Goodman [9/4/2026]

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, September 4, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Friday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, built to highlight the top home run picks today.

Home run predictions for September 4, 2026

See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1050.

• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 23.2% probability
• Eugenio Suárez (Reds): 20.5%
• Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): 20.0%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 19.9%
• Hunter Goodman (Rockies): 19.8%
• Jake Bauers (Brewers): 18.2%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.8%
• Mickey Moniak (Rockies): 17.4%
• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 17.2%
• Kyle Tucker (Dodgers): 17.1%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.2% chance to go deep, followed by Eugenio Suárez (20.5%) and Nolan Gorman (20.0%).

Cal Raleigh and Hunter Goodman are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Friday's home run picks [9/4/2026]

Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, highlights today’s highest-rated home run prop.

David Hamilton (Brewers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 12.2%
• Odds: +1050
• Edge: 3.5%
• Pitching matchup: Rhett Lowder
• More game projections: Brewers vs. Reds prediction (6:10 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Milwaukee slugger David Hamilton rates as a value play at +1050 with Fanatics, showing a 3.5% edge.

Against Reds starter Rhett Lowder, the data supports Hamilton as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For September 4, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Eugenio Suárez and Nolan Gorman projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's David Hamilton who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.5% edge at +1050 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Friday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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