Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Saturday has +630 odds [9/5/2026]

Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, September 5, 2026, feature Kyle Schwarber as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Saturday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for September 5, 2026

See which hitters join Schwarber on today’s list — including one long-shot pick the model rates as value at +630.

• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 22.0% probability
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 20.1%
• Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): 19.3%
• Kyle Tucker (Dodgers): 18.9%
• Max Muncy (Dodgers): 18.2%
• Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers): 18.1%
• Hunter Goodman (Rockies): 18.0%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 18.0%
• Eugenio Suárez (Reds): 17.9%
• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 17.2%

Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.0% chance to go deep, followed by Cal Raleigh (20.1%) and Nolan Gorman (19.3%).

Kyle Tucker and Max Muncy are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Saturday's home run picks [9/5/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven variables like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.

Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 18.9%
• Odds: +630
• Edge: 5.2%
• Pitching matchup: Cade Cavalli
• More game projections: Nationals vs. Dodgers prediction (9:10 PM EDT)

Ranked among today’s top five home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +630 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 5.2% edge.

Set to face Cade Cavalli in tonight's Nationals-Dodgers matchup, the data supports Tucker as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of 13 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For September 5, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Cal Raleigh and Nolan Gorman projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 5.2% edge at +630 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Saturday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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