Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Dinger Tuesday has +600 odds [9/8/2026]

Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, September 8, 2026, feature Aaron Judge as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Tuesday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for September 8, 2026

See which hitters join Judge on today’s list — including one long-shot pick the model rates as value at +600.

• Aaron Judge (Yankees): 30.1% probability
• Ben Rice (Yankees): 23.1%
• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 22.4%
• Jazz Chisholm (Yankees): 22.3%
• Spencer Jones (Yankees): 21.4%
• Austin Wells (Yankees): 19.8%
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 19.5%
• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 19.4%
• Cody Bellinger (Yankees): 19.3%
• Jo Adell (Guardians): 19.2%

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 30.1% chance to go deep, followed by Ben Rice (23.1%) and Shohei Ohtani (22.4%).

Jazz Chisholm and Spencer Jones are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Tuesday's home run picks [9/8/2026]

Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, identifies today’s highest-rated home run prop.

Austin Wells (Yankees) to hit a home run

• Probability: 19.8%
• Odds: +600
• Edge: 5.5%
• Pitching matchup: Gabriel Hughes
• More game projections: Rockies vs. Yankees prediction (7:05 PM EDT)

Ranked among today’s top 10 home run projections, New York slugger Austin Wells rates as a value play at +600 with Fanatics, showing a 5.5% edge.

Set to face Gabriel Hughes in tonight's Rockies-Yankees matchup, the data supports Wells as one of Tuesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props — and a natural fit for Dinger Tuesday, a weekly tradition where bettors focus on home run value plays across the slate.

Originally sparked by sportsbook offers rewarding bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has evolved into a weekly tradition for MLB bettors — where clear, model-driven insights like these can help separate signal from noise.

Pro users have access to a total of 18 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For September 8, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Ben Rice and Shohei Ohtani projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Austin Wells who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 5.5% edge at +600 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Tuesday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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