Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Corbin Carroll, Shea Langeliers [9/22/2026]

• Corbin Carroll (Diamondbacks): 19.7% probability
• Shea Langeliers (Athletics): 19.6%
• Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks): 19.6%
• Ronald Acuña (Braves): 19.6%
• Matt Olson (Braves): 19.6%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 19.4%
• Eugenio Suárez (Reds): 19.0%
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 19.0%
• Austin Riley (Braves): 18.8%
• Sean Murphy (Braves): 17.6%

Our analysis shows Carroll leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 19.7% chance to go deep, followed by Shea Langeliers (19.6%) and Ketel Marte (19.6%).

Ronald Acuña and Matt Olson are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Tuesday's home run picks [9/22/2026]

Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, highlights today’s highest-rated home run prop.

Michael Busch (Cubs) to hit a home run

• Probability: 14.8%
• Odds: +980
• Edge: 5.6%
• Pitching matchup: Janson Junk
• More game projections: Marlins vs. Cubs prediction (7:40 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Chicago slugger Michael Busch rates as a value play at +980 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 5.6% edge.

Against Marlins starter Janson Junk, the data supports Busch as one of Tuesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props — and a natural fit for Dinger Tuesday, when bettors look for value in home run props across a packed MLB slate.

Originally sparked by sportsbook offers rewarding bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has evolved into a weekly tradition for MLB bettors — where clear, model-driven insights like these can help separate signal from noise.

Pro users have access to a total of 38 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For September 22, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Corbin Carroll, Shea Langeliers and Ketel Marte projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Michael Busch who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 5.6% edge at +980 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Tuesday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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