MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Janson Junk [9/22/2026]

Janson Junk over 1.5 earned runs (-155)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 67.3%
• Game: Marlins vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Our model has found value on Marlins' Janson Junk over 1.5 earned runs. A probability of 67.3% gives this play an edge of 6.5% at -155 odds.

Payton Tolle under 5.5 strikeouts (-142)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 67.2%
• Game: Guardians vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET)

Payton Tolle’s strikeouts prop shows a 67.2% probability and an 8.5% edge at -142 odds, according to our model.

Austin Riley to get a hit (-185)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 67.1%
• Game: Reds vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

The data highlights value on Austin Riley to get a hit, with simulations showing a 67.1% probability and a 2.2% edge at -185.

Parker Messick under 17.5 outs recorded (-131)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Game: Guardians vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET)

Our model finds value on Parker Messick under 17.5 outs recorded, with a 66.2% probability and an edge of 9.5% at -131 odds.

Janson Junk over 4.5 hits allowed (-127)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 65.5%
• Game: Marlins vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Janson Junk over 4.5 hits allowed for Marlins, showing an edge of 9.5% at -127 odds.

Ha-Seong Kim to get a hit (-121)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 64.5%
• Game: Reds vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Ha-Seong Kim’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 9.7% at -121 odds, supported by a 64.5% probability according to our model.

Ha-Seong Kim over 0.5 bases (-120)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 64.4%
• Game: Reds vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Ha-Seong Kim over 0.5 bases for Braves, with a 64.4% probability and a 9.9% edge at -120 odds.

Drew Anderson over 4.5 strikeouts (-130)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 63.1%
• Game: Nationals vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Drew Anderson over 4.5 strikeouts, supported by a 63.1% probability at -130 odds and an edge of 6.6%.

Drew Anderson over 1.5 earned runs (-141)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 62.5%
• Game: Nationals vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)

A 4.0% edge on the over 4.5 earned runs line makes Drew Anderson a value play in Nationals vs. Tigers, supported by a 62.5% probability at -141 odds.

MacKenzie Gore over 13.5 outs recorded (-134)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 61.8%
• Game: Mets vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Simulations show value on MacKenzie Gore over 13.5 outs recorded here, with a 61.8% probability and 4.6% edge at -134 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, September 22, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:46AM ET:

Conclusion

For September 22, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Janson Junk, Payton Tolle and Austin Riley. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.