MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Blue Jays vs. Orioles play [9/21/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get MLB picks today and best bets for Monday, September 21, 2026.

MLB Best Bets.
These MLB betting picks for September 21, 2026, are based on the latest odds and probabilities for Monday's games.

Today’s MLB picks for September 21, 2026 are here, with Blue Jays vs. Orioles and Nationals vs. Tigers among the top plays identified by our model across Monday’s MLB play.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest baseball odds to discover legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of MLB best bets today [9/21, updated 8:31AM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s MLB best bets, ranked by edge for Monday, September 21, 2026.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Over 7.5 runs (-104)

Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Blue Jays vs. Orioles at 51¢ odds. A 58.7% probability produces an edge of 7.7%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

 

Nationals ML (+141)

Nationals ML carries a 3.0% edge and a probability of 45% at 41¢ odds, according to our model.

 

MLB best bets summary: Monday, 9/21/2026

As of 8:31AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup Bet Odds Edge Prob.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Over 7.5 runs 51¢ @ Novig 7.7% 58.7%
Nationals vs. Tigers Nationals ML 41¢ @ Novig 3.0% 45%
 

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [9/21/2026]

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for September 21, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Blue Jays vs. Orioles matchup and Nationals ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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