Home run predictions for Friday include Kyle Schwarber, Yordan Alvarez [7/24/2026]
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, July 24, 2026, feature Kyle Schwarber as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Friday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run bets today.
Home run predictions for July 24, 2026
See which hitters join Schwarber on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1100.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 19.7% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 18.9% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 17.8% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.6% |
| Jake Bauers (Brewers) | 17.5% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 17.0% |
| Jackson Chourio (Brewers) | 16.9% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 16.8% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 16.7% |
| Jake Burger (Rangers) | 15.9% |
Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 19.7% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (18.9%) and Yordan Alvarez (17.8%).
Junior Caminero and Jake Bauers are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Friday's home run picks [7/24/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Vinnie Pasquantino (Royals) to hit a home run
- Probability: 13.1%
- Odds: +1100
- Edge: 4.8%
- Game: Royals vs. Tigers (6:40 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Tarik Skubal
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Kansas City slugger Vinnie Pasquantino rates as a value play at +1100 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 4.8% edge.
Against Tigers starter Tarik Skubal, the data supports Pasquantino as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 12 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For July 24, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Shohei Ohtani and Yordan Alvarez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Vinnie Pasquantino who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.8% edge at +1100 odds.
Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Friday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
