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Read Article Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +519 pick for Monday [6/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Monday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, June 15, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Monday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run picks today.
Home run predictions for June 15, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one value pick the model rates as value at +519.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 24.1% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 23.0% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 22.0% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 21.5% |
| Eugenio Suarez (Reds) | 20.2% |
| Michael Busch (Cubs) | 19.1% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 19.0% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 18.7% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 18.4% |
| Tyler Soderstrom (Athletics) | 18.0% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.1% chance to go deep, followed by Nick Kurtz (23.0%) and Kyle Schwarber (22.0%).
Shea Langeliers and Eugenio Suarez are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Monday's home run picks [6/15/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 18.4%
- Odds: +519
- Edge: 2.3%
- Game: Rays vs. Dodgers (10:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Nick Martinez
Ranked among today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +519 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.3% edge.
Against Rays starter Nick Martinez, the data supports Tucker as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For June 15, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Nick Kurtz and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.3% edge at +519 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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