Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Monday has +1000 odds [7/27/2026]
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Monday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, July 27, 2026, feature Cal Raleigh as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Monday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run bets today.
Home run predictions for July 27, 2026
See which hitters join Raleigh on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1000.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 20.2% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 20.0% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 19.0% |
| Eugenio Suárez (Reds) | 18.9% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 17.4% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 16.8% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 16.7% |
| Kerry Carpenter (Tigers) | 16.1% |
| Munetaka Murakami (White Sox) | 16.0% |
| Ben Rice (Yankees) | 15.8% |
Our analysis shows Raleigh leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 20.2% chance to go deep, followed by Nick Kurtz (20.0%) and Kyle Schwarber (19.0%).
Eugenio Suárez and Jo Adell are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Monday's home run picks [7/27/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven variables like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.
Andrew Vaughn (Brewers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 12.4%
- Odds: fanatics+1000
- Edge: 3.3%
- Game: Brewers vs. Giants (9:45 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Tyler Mahle
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Milwaukee slugger Andrew Vaughn rates as a value play at +1000 with fanatics, showing a 3.3% edge.
With Tyler Mahle on the mound for the Giants, the data supports Vaughn as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of eight home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For July 27, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Cal Raleigh, Nick Kurtz and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Andrew Vaughn who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.3% edge at +1000 odds.
Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Monday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
