Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +514 pick for Saturday [7/25/2026]
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Saturday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, July 25, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Saturday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for July 25, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one value pick the model rates as value at +514.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 18.7% |
| Eugenio Suárez (Reds) | 18.5% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 18.3% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.6% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 17.4% |
| Jake Bauers (Brewers) | 17.0% |
| Matt Olson (Braves) | 16.7% |
| Austin Riley (Braves) | 16.4% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 16.3% |
| Jackson Chourio (Brewers) | 16.0% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 18.7% chance to go deep, followed by Eugenio Suárez (18.5%) and Pete Alonso (18.3%).
Junior Caminero and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Saturday's home run picks [7/25/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Eugenio Suárez (Reds) to hit a home run
- Probability: 18.5%
- Odds: +514
- Edge: 2.2%
- Game: Reds vs. Cardinals (7:15 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Andre Pallante
Ranked among today’s top three home run projections, Cincinnati slugger Eugenio Suárez rates as a value play at +514 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.2% edge.
Against Cardinals starter Andre Pallante, the data supports Suárez as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For July 25, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Eugenio Suárez and Pete Alonso projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Suárez in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.2% edge at +514 odds.
Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Saturday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
