Jul 23, 2026
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Read Article Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Sunday has +1120 odds [6/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, June 7, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Sunday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for June 7, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1120.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 22.9% |
| Gary Sanchez (Brewers) | 21.8% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 21.6% |
| Eugenio Suarez (Reds) | 18.9% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 18.9% |
| Jackson Chourio (Brewers) | 18.7% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 18.1% |
| Andrew Vaughn (Brewers) | 17.5% |
| Ben Rice (Yankees) | 17.4% |
| Hunter Goodman (Rockies) | 17.4% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.9% chance to go yard, followed by Gary Sanchez (21.8%) and Kyle Schwarber (21.6%).
Eugenio Suarez and Nick Kurtz are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Sunday's home run picks [6/7/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Carson Kelly (Cubs) to hit a home run
- Probability: 11.1%
- Odds: +1120
- Edge: 2.9%
- Game: Giants vs. Cubs (8:30 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Trevor McDonald
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Chicago slugger Carson Kelly rates as a value play at +1120 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 2.9% edge.
With Trevor McDonald on the mound for the Giants, the data supports Kelly as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of nine home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For June 7, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Gary Sanchez and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Carson Kelly who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.9% edge at +1120 odds.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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