Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Sunday has +870 odds [7/12/2026]

Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, July 12, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Sunday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for July 12, 2026

See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +870.

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.1% chance to go deep, followed by Eugenio Suárez (20.6%) and Shea Langeliers (19.8%).

Pete Alonso and Kyle Tucker are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Sunday's home run picks [7/12/2026]

Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, identifies today’s highest-rated home run prop.

Lawrence Butler (Athletics) to hit a home run

• Probability: 14.3%
• Odds: +870
• Edge: 3.9%
• Game: Athletics vs. White Sox (2:10 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: Noah Schultz

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, slugger Lawrence Butler rates as a value play at +870 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 3.9% edge.

Against White Sox starter Noah Schultz, the data supports Butler as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of five home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For July 12, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Eugenio Suárez and Shea Langeliers projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Lawrence Butler who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.9% edge at +870 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Sunday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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