Home run predictions for Sunday include Nick Kurtz, Yordan Alvarez [7/26/2026]

Our analysis shows Kurtz leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.9% chance to go deep, followed by Shea Langeliers (21.7%) and Kyle Schwarber (21.3%).

Yordan Alvarez and Shohei Ohtani are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Sunday's home run picks [7/26/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and weighing key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Lawrence Butler (Athletics) to hit a home run

• Probability: 15.7%
• Odds: +860
• Edge: 5.3%
• Game: Athletics vs. Twins (2:10 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: Connor Prielipp

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, slugger Lawrence Butler rates as a value play at +860 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 5.3% edge.

Set to face Connor Prielipp in tonight's Athletics-Twins matchup, the data supports Butler as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of six home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For July 26, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Nick Kurtz, Shea Langeliers and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Lawrence Butler who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 5.3% edge at +860 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Sunday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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