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Read Article Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +1150 pick for Thursday [6/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Thursday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Thursday, June 25, 2026, feature Kyle Schwarber as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Thursday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.
Home run predictions for June 25, 2026
See which hitters join Schwarber on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1150.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 22.1% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.8% |
| Juan Soto (Mets) | 17.2% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 16.3% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 16.3% |
| Bryce Harper (Phillies) | 16.0% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 16.0% |
| Francisco Alvarez (Mets) | 15.7% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 15.5% |
| Wilyer Abreu (Red Sox) | 15.0% |
Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.1% chance to go yard, followed by Junior Caminero (17.8%) and Juan Soto (17.2%).
Cal Raleigh and Nick Kurtz are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Thursday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Thursday's home run picks [6/25/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and weighing key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Lawrence Butler (Athletics) to hit a home run
- Probability: 11%
- Odds: +1150
- Edge: 3.0%
- Game: Athletics vs. Giants (3:45 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Landen Roupp
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, slugger Lawrence Butler rates as a value play at +1150 with BetRivers, showing a 3.0% edge.
With Landen Roupp on the mound for the Giants, the data supports Butler as one of Thursday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For June 25, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Junior Caminero and Juan Soto projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Lawrence Butler who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.0% edge at +1150 odds.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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