Jul 22, 2026
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Read Article Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +470 pick for Wednesday [7/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, July 8, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Wednesday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for July 8, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one value pick the model rates as value at +470.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 32.2% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 24.2% |
| Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers) | 23.4% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 23.4% |
| Andy Pages (Dodgers) | 21.1% |
| Dalton Rushing (Dodgers) | 19.2% |
| Mookie Betts (Dodgers) | 19.2% |
| Freddie Freeman (Dodgers) | 18.8% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 18.5% |
| Kyle Manzardo (Guardians) | 18.1% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 32.2% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Tucker (24.2%) and Teoscar Hernández (23.4%).
Max Muncy and Andy Pages are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Wednesday's home run picks [7/8/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro highlights today’s top home run prop.
Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 24.2%
- Odds: +470
- Edge: 6.6%
- Game: Rockies vs. Dodgers (10:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Gabriel Hughes
Ranked among today’s top three home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +470 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 6.6% edge.
Set to face Gabriel Hughes in tonight's Rockies-Dodgers matchup, the data supports Tucker as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 17 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For July 8, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Tucker and Teoscar Hernández projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Tucker in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 6.6% edge at +470 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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