MLB strikeout projections today: Chris Sale leads top pitchers for September 4, 2026

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get baseball pitcher projections today guided by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.

MLB Pitcher Projections Today.
Our pitcher projections for September 4, 2026, are based on Friday's projected and confirmed pitchers.

Our MLB strikeout projections for Friday, September 4, 2026, feature Chris Sale of the Braves as the top projected pitcher, according to Dimers Pro’s latest simulation data.

Today’s pitching projections are powered by our MLB model, which simulates every game thousands of times to estimate outcomes like strikeouts, outs recorded, and earned runs allowed.

Strikeout projections for September 4, 2026

See which pitchers join Sale on today’s leaderboard, with supporting projections included.

  • Chris Sale (Braves): 6.28 Ks, 16.67 outs, 1.74 earned runs, 4.13 hits
  • Logan Gilbert (Mariners): 5.69 Ks, 15.55 outs, 1.62 earned runs, 3.69 hits
  • Blake Snell (Dodgers): 5.32 Ks, 14.15 outs, 1.73 earned runs, 3.39 hits
  • Cristopher Sánchez (Phillies): 5.20 Ks, 17.28 outs, 1.85 earned runs, 4.75 hits
  • Max Fried (Yankees): 4.98 Ks, 17.22 outs, 1.84 earned runs, 4.52 hits
  • Nolan McLean (Mets): 4.75 Ks, 15.57 outs, 1.98 earned runs, 4.08 hits
  • Jared Jones (Pirates): 4.73 Ks, 14.09 outs, 1.99 earned runs, 4.28 hits
  • ** Suarez (Red Sox):** 4.67 Ks, 15.89 outs, 2.09 earned runs, 5.20 hits
  • Nick Martinez (Rays): 4.66 Ks, 19.03 outs, 2.90 earned runs, 6.39 hits
  • Shane Baz (Orioles): 4.57 Ks, 14.23 outs, 2.33 earned runs, 4.71 hits

For September 4, 2026, Sale tops today’s MLB strikeout projections with 6.28, followed by Logan Gilbert at 5.69. Blake Snell, Cristopher Sánchez and Max Fried round out the top five.

Want to explore the full slate? Check out today’s MLB pitcher projections to sort by strikeouts, outs, or earned runs for every starter.

Plus, check out the other side of the action with Friday's top 10 home run predictions.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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