MLB player props today: Saturday's best props include Brad Lord [8/15/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' MLB player props are live for August 15, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Brad Lord, Ian Seymour and Anthony Kay.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Rangers vs. Athletics and D-Backs vs. Braves—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Saturday, 8/15
Sourced from 120+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 15, ranked by probability.
Brad Lord over 0.5 walks allowed (-241)
- Edge: 9.4%
- Probability: 80.0%
- Game: Nationals vs. Mets (4:10PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Washington's Brad Lord over 0.5 walks allowed. A probability of 80.0% gives this play an edge of 9.4% at -241 odds.
Ian Seymour over 1.5 earned runs (-166)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 68.7%
- Game: Orioles vs. Rays (6:10PM ET)
Ian Seymour’s earned runs prop shows a 68.7% probability and an 6.3% edge at -166 odds, according to our model.
Anthony Kay over 1.5 walks allowed (-173)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 66.6%
- Game: White Sox vs. Tigers (1:10PM ET)
The data highlights value on Anthony Kay over 1.5 walks allowed, with simulations showing a 66.6% probability and a 3.2% edge at -173.
Brady Singer under 5.5 strikeouts (-162)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 65.1%
- Game: Marlins vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Brady Singer under 5.5 strikeouts, with a 65.1% probability and an edge of 3.2% at -162 odds.
Justin Wrobleski under 5.5 hits allowed (-127)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 65.0%
- Game: Brewers vs. Dodgers (7:15PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Justin Wrobleski under 5.5 hits allowed for LA Dodgers, showing an edge of 9.1% at -127 odds.
Reid Detmers under 6.5 strikeouts (-141)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 63.8%
- Game: Royals vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)
Reid Detmers’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 5.3% at -141 odds, supported by a 63.8% probability according to our model.
MacKenzie Gore under 6.5 strikeouts (-147)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 63.5%
- Game: Rangers vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)
Our model highlights value on MacKenzie Gore under 6.5 strikeouts for Texas, with a 63.5% probability and a 3.9% edge at -147 odds.
Derek Hill to get a hit (-117)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 62.7%
- Game: Phillies vs. Twins (7:10PM ET)
The data shows value on Derek Hill to get a hit, supported by a 62.7% probability at -117 odds and an edge of 8.7%.
J.T. Ginn under 16.5 outs recorded (-108)
- Edge: 9.5%
- Probability: 61.4%
- Game: Rangers vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)
A 9.5% edge on the under 0.5 outs recorded line makes J.T. Ginn a value play in Rangers vs. Athletics, supported by a 61.4% probability at -108 odds.
Ke'Bryan Hayes to get a hit (-110)
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 60.4%
- Game: Marlins vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)
Simulations show value on Ke'Bryan Hayes to get a hit here, with a 60.4% probability and 8.0% edge at -110 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Saturday, August 15, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:12AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals vs. Mets | Brad Lord o0.5 walks allowed | -241 @ DraftKings | 9.4% | 80.0% |
| Orioles vs. Rays | Ian Seymour o1.5 earned runs | -166 @ DraftKings | 6.3% | 68.7% |
| White Sox vs. Tigers | Anthony Kay o1.5 walks allowed | -173 @ DraftKings | 3.2% | 65.1% |
| Marlins vs. Reds | Brady Singer u5.5 strikeouts | -162 @ DraftKings | 3.2% | 65.1% |
| Brewers vs. Dodgers | Justin Wrobleski u5.5 hits allowed | -127 @ DraftKings | 9.1% | 65.0% |
| Royals vs. Angels | Reid Detmers u6.5 strikeouts | -141 @ DraftKings | 5.3% | 63.8% |
| Rangers vs. Athletics | MacKenzie Gore u6.5 strikeouts | -147 @ DraftKings | 3.9% | 63.5% |
| Phillies vs. Twins | Derek Hill to get a hit | -117 @ DraftKings | 8.7% | 62.7% |
| Rangers vs. Athletics | J.T. Ginn u16.5 outs recorded | -108 @ DraftKings | 9.5% | 61.4% |
| Marlins vs. Reds | Ke'Bryan Hayes to get a hit | -110 @ Fanatics | 8.0% | 60.4% |
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Conclusion
For August 15, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Brad Lord, Ian Seymour and Anthony Kay. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
