MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include Freddy Peralta [8/16/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Sunday's games.
Dimers' MLB player props are live for August 16, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Freddy Peralta, Hunter Brown and Ryan Johnson.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Rangers vs. Athletics and D-Backs vs. Braves—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Sunday, 8/16
Sourced from 170+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 16, ranked by probability.
Freddy Peralta under 2.5 walks allowed (-190)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 70.8%
- Game: Orioles vs. Rays (12:15PM ET)
Our model has found value on Tampa Bay's Freddy Peralta under 2.5 walks allowed. A probability of 70.8% gives this play an edge of 5.3% at -190 odds.
Hunter Brown under 2.5 walks allowed (-185)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 70.7%
- Game: Mariners vs. Astros (7:20PM ET)
Hunter Brown’s walks allowed prop shows a 70.7% probability and an 5.8% edge at -185 odds, according to our model.
Ryan Johnson over 4.5 hits allowed (-155)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 68.6%
- Game: Royals vs. Angels (4:07PM ET)
The data highlights value on Ryan Johnson over 4.5 hits allowed, with simulations showing a 68.6% probability and a 7.8% edge at -155.
Ryan Johnson over 3.5 strikeouts (-160)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 68.4%
- Game: Royals vs. Angels (4:07PM ET)
Our model finds value on Ryan Johnson over 3.5 strikeouts, with a 68.4% probability and an edge of 6.8% at -160 odds.
Ryan Weathers under 5.5 hits allowed (-152)
- Edge: 7.2%
- Probability: 67.6%
- Game: Yankees vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Ryan Weathers under 5.5 hits allowed for NY Yankees, showing an edge of 7.2% at -152 odds.
Patrick Sandoval under 5.5 strikeouts (-164)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 67.3%
- Game: Red Sox vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET)
Patrick Sandoval’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 5.1% at -164 odds, supported by a 67.3% probability according to our model.
Gabriel Hughes under 15.5 outs recorded (-149)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 66.9%
- Game: Rockies vs. Giants (4:05PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Gabriel Hughes under 15.5 outs recorded for Colorado, with a 66.9% probability and a 7.0% edge at -149 odds.
Christian Koss to get a hit (-150)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 66.3%
- Game: Rockies vs. Giants (4:05PM ET)
The data shows value on Christian Koss to get a hit, supported by a 66.3% probability at -150 odds and an edge of 6.3%.
Freddy Peralta under 6.5 strikeouts (-156)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 65.5%
- Game: Orioles vs. Rays (12:15PM ET)
A 4.6% edge on the under 0.5 strikeouts line makes Freddy Peralta a value play in Orioles vs. Rays, supported by a 65.5% probability at -156 odds.
Drew Anderson over 13.5 outs recorded (-123)
- Edge: 9.8%
- Probability: 65.0%
- Game: White Sox vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET)
Simulations show value on Drew Anderson over 13.5 outs recorded here, with a 65.0% probability and 9.8% edge at -123 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Sunday, August 16, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:27AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles vs. Rays | Freddy Peralta u2.5 walks allowed | -190 @ DraftKings | 5.3% | 70.8% |
| Mariners vs. Astros | Hunter Brown u2.5 walks allowed | -185 @ DraftKings | 5.8% | 70.7% |
| Royals vs. Angels | Ryan Johnson o4.5 hits allowed | -155 @ DraftKings | 6.8% | 68.4% |
| Royals vs. Angels | Ryan Johnson o3.5 strikeouts | -160 @ FanDuel | 6.8% | 68.4% |
| Yankees vs. Blue Jays | Ryan Weathers u5.5 hits allowed | -152 @ DraftKings | 7.2% | 67.6% |
| Red Sox vs. Pirates | Patrick Sandoval u5.5 strikeouts | -164 @ DraftKings | 5.1% | 67.3% |
| Rockies vs. Giants | Gabriel Hughes u15.5 outs recorded | -149 @ DraftKings | 7.0% | 66.9% |
| Rockies vs. Giants | Christian Koss to get a hit | -150 @ FanDuel | 6.3% | 66.3% |
| Orioles vs. Rays | Freddy Peralta u6.5 strikeouts | -156 @ DraftKings | 4.6% | 65.5% |
| White Sox vs. Tigers | Drew Anderson o13.5 outs recorded | -123 @ DraftKings | 9.8% | 65.0% |
Conclusion
For August 16, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Freddy Peralta, Hunter Brown and Ryan Johnson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
