Aug 18, 2026
MLB picks today: Tuesday's MLB best bets include Yankees vs. Orioles play [8/18/2026]
Read Article MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Yainer Diaz [8/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB player props today with projections for Tuesday's games.
Dimers' MLB player props are live for August 18, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Yainer Diaz, Kyle Leahy and Bryce Miller.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Yankees vs. Orioles and D-Backs vs. Red Sox—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Tuesday, 8/18
Sourced from 150+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 18, ranked by probability.
Yainer Diaz over 0.5 bases (-185)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 67.2%
- Game: Angels vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Houston's Yainer Diaz over 0.5 bases. A probability of 67.2% gives this play an edge of 2.3% at -185 odds.
Kyle Leahy over 1.5 earned runs (-169)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 66.8%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)
Kyle Leahy’s earned runs prop shows a 66.8% probability and an 4.0% edge at -169 odds, according to our model.
Bryce Miller under 5.5 strikeouts (-132)
- Edge: 7.5%
- Probability: 64.4%
- Game: Mariners vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)
The data highlights value on Bryce Miller under 5.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 64.4% probability and a 7.5% edge at -132.
Ranger Suarez over 1.5 earned runs (-136)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 64.4%
- Game: D-Backs vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on Ranger Suarez over 1.5 earned runs, with a 64.4% probability and an edge of 6.7% at -136 odds.
Carlos Rodón over 4.5 strikeouts (-151)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 63.7%
- Game: Yankees vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Carlos Rodón over 4.5 strikeouts for NY Yankees, showing an edge of 3.5% at -151 odds.
George Klassen under 4.5 strikeouts (-148)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 62.9%
- Game: Angels vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)
George Klassen’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 3.3% at -148 odds, supported by a 62.9% probability according to our model.
Tyler Mahle under 16.5 outs recorded (-114)
- Edge: 9.4%
- Probability: 62.7%
- Game: Braves vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Tyler Mahle under 16.5 outs recorded for Atlanta, with a 62.7% probability and a 9.4% edge at -114 odds.
Nick Martinez over 5.5 hits allowed (-115)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 62.4%
- Game: Blue Jays vs. Rays (6:40PM ET)
The data shows value on Nick Martinez over 5.5 hits allowed, supported by a 62.4% probability at -115 odds and an edge of 8.9%.
Shane Baz under 17.5 outs recorded (-125)
- Edge: 5.9%
- Probability: 61.4%
- Game: Yankees vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)
A 5.9% edge on the under 5.5 outs recorded line makes Shane Baz a value play in Yankees vs. Orioles, supported by a 61.4% probability at -125 odds.
Brooks Lee to get a hit (-140)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 61.4%
- Game: Braves vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)
Simulations show value on Brooks Lee to get a hit here, with a 61.4% probability and 3.0% edge at -140 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:34AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angels vs. Astros | Yainer Diaz o0.5 bases | -185 @ Fanatics | 2.3% | 67.2% |
| Cardinals vs. Reds | Kyle Leahy o1.5 earned runs | -169 @ DraftKings | 4.0% | 66.8% |
| Mariners vs. Brewers | Bryce Miller u5.5 strikeouts | -132 @ FanDuel | 6.7% | 64.4% |
| D-Backs vs. Red Sox | Ranger Suarez o1.5 earned runs | -136 @ DraftKings | 6.7% | 64.4% |
| Yankees vs. Orioles | Carlos Rodón o4.5 strikeouts | -151 @ DraftKings | 3.5% | 63.7% |
| Angels vs. Astros | George Klassen u4.5 strikeouts | -148 @ DraftKings | 3.3% | 62.9% |
| Braves vs. Twins | Tyler Mahle u16.5 outs recorded | -114 @ DraftKings | 9.4% | 62.7% |
| Blue Jays vs. Rays | Nick Martinez o5.5 hits allowed | -115 @ DraftKings | 8.9% | 62.4% |
| Yankees vs. Orioles | Shane Baz u17.5 outs recorded | -125 @ FanDuel | 5.9% | 61.4% |
| Braves vs. Twins | Brooks Lee to get a hit | -140 @ Fanatics | 3.0% | 61.4% |
Conclusion
For August 18, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Yainer Diaz, Kyle Leahy and Bryce Miller. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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