MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Dustin May [8/19/2026]

Dimers' MLB player props are live for August 20, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Dustin May, Chris Bassitt and Kyle Freeland.

Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Yankees vs. Orioles and D-Backs vs. Red Sox—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.

List of MLB prop picks for Thursday, 8/19

Sourced from 150+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 19, ranked by probability.

Dustin May over 1.5 walks allowed (-143)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 66.5%
• Game: Mariners vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

Our model has found value on Milwaukee's Dustin May over 1.5 walks allowed. A probability of 66.5% gives this play an edge of 7.7% at -143 odds.

Chris Bassitt over 4.5 hits allowed (-156)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 65.7%
• Game: Yankees vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)

Chris Bassitt’s hits allowed prop shows a 65.7% probability and an 4.7% edge at -156 odds, according to our model.

Kyle Freeland over 6.5 hits allowed (-138)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 64.7%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Kyle Freeland over 6.5 hits allowed, with simulations showing a 64.7% probability and a 6.7% edge at -138.

Matthew Liberatore over 4.5 hits allowed (-143)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Matthew Liberatore over 4.5 hits allowed, with a 63.9% probability and an edge of 5.1% at -143 odds.

Michael King over 4.5 strikeouts (-148)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 63.1%
• Game: Padres vs. Mets (1:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Michael King over 4.5 strikeouts for San Diego, showing an edge of 3.4% at -148 odds.

Will Warren under 5.5 strikeouts (-145)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Game: Yankees vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)

Will Warren’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 3.1% at -145 odds, supported by a 62.2% probability according to our model.

Nicky Lopez to get a hit (-115)

• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 62.1%
• Game: Nationals vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Nicky Lopez to get a hit for Texas, with a 62.1% probability and a 8.6% edge at -115 odds.

Sandy Alcantara over 1.5 walks allowed (-122)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 61.0%
• Game: Marlins vs. Phillies (6:05PM ET)

The data shows value on Sandy Alcantara over 1.5 walks allowed, supported by a 61.0% probability at -122 odds and an edge of 6.0%.

Taj Bradley under 17.5 outs recorded (-111)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 60.9%
• Game: Braves vs. Twins (1:40PM ET)

An 8.3% edge on the under 1.5 outs recorded line makes Taj Bradley a value play in Braves vs. Twins, supported by a 60.9% probability at -111 odds.

Matthew Liberatore over 1.5 walks allowed (-123)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 60.8%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Matthew Liberatore over 1.5 walks allowed here, with a 60.8% probability and 5.6% edge at -123 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Wednesday, August 19, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:03AM ET:

Conclusion

For August 19, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Dustin May, Chris Bassitt and Kyle Freeland. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.