MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Jesús Luzardo [8/26/2026]

Jesús Luzardo under 2.5 walks allowed (-179)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 73.1%
• Game: Phillies vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Philadelphia's Jesús Luzardo under 2.5 walks allowed. A probability of 73.1% gives this play an edge of 8.9% at -179 odds.

Tanner Gordon over 0.5 walks allowed (-198)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 71.9%
• Game: Rockies vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)

Tanner Gordon’s walks allowed prop shows a 71.9% probability and an 5.4% edge at -198 odds, according to our model.

Ryan Gusto over 1.5 earned runs (-153)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 68.3%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Ryan Gusto over 1.5 earned runs, with simulations showing a 68.3% probability and a 7.8% edge at -153.

Grayson Rodriguez under 5.5 hits allowed (-164)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 66.8%
• Game: Guardians vs. Angels (4:07PM ET)

Our model finds value on Grayson Rodriguez under 5.5 hits allowed, with a 66.8% probability and an edge of 4.7% at -164 odds.

Darell Hernaiz over 0.5 bases (-165)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Game: Twins vs. Athletics (9:05PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Darell Hernaiz over 0.5 bases for Athletics, showing an edge of 3.9% at -165 odds.

Darell Hernaiz to get a hit (-165)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Game: Twins vs. Athletics (9:05PM ET)

Darell Hernaiz’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 3.9% at -165 odds, supported by a 66.2% probability according to our model.

Joey Cantillo over 1.5 walks allowed (-170)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Game: Guardians vs. Angels (4:07PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Joey Cantillo over 1.5 walks allowed for Cleveland, with a 66.2% probability and a 3.2% edge at -170 odds.

Randy Vásquez under 5.5 hits allowed (-155)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 65.3%
• Game: Pirates vs. Padres (4:10PM ET)

The data shows value on Randy Vásquez under 5.5 hits allowed, supported by a 65.3% probability at -155 odds and an edge of 4.5%.

J.T. Ginn under 16.5 outs recorded (-124)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 64.5%
• Game: Twins vs. Athletics (9:05PM ET)

A 9.1% edge on the under 5.5 outs recorded line makes J.T. Ginn a value play in Twins vs. Athletics, supported by a 64.5% probability at -124 odds.

Alika Williams over 0.5 bases (-160)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 64.4%
• Game: Twins vs. Athletics (9:05PM ET)

Simulations show value on Alika Williams over 0.5 bases here, with a 64.4% probability and 2.9% edge at -160 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Wednesday, August 26, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:05AM ET:

Conclusion

For August 26, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Jesús Luzardo, Tanner Gordon and Ryan Gusto. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.