Aug 27, 2026
MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Brewers vs. Mets play [8/27/2026]
Read Article MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Spencer Arrighetti [8/27/2026]
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' MLB player props are live for August 27, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Spencer Arrighetti, Myles Straw and Charles McAdoo.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Brewers vs. Mets and Astros vs. Yankees—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Thursday, 8/27
Below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 27, ranked by probability.
Spencer Arrighetti over 13.5 outs recorded (-121)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 59.8%
- Game: Royals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)
Our model has found value on Toronto's Spencer Arrighetti over 13.5 outs recorded. A probability of 59.8% gives this play an edge of 5.0% at -121 odds.
Myles Straw to get a hit (-123)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 57.5%
- Game: Royals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)
Myles Straw’s to get a hit prop shows a 57.5% probability and an 2.3% edge at -123 odds, according to our model.
Charles McAdoo to get a hit (-119)
- Edge: 2.7%
- Probability: 57.0%
- Game: Royals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)
The data highlights value on Charles McAdoo to get a hit, with simulations showing a 57.0% probability and a 2.7% edge at -119.
Hayden Wesneski over 4.5 strikeouts (+132)
- Edge: 10.0%
- Probability: 53.1%
- Game: Astros vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)
Our model finds value on Hayden Wesneski over 4.5 strikeouts, with a 53.1% probability and an edge of 10.0% at +132 odds.
Brett Baty to get a hit (+117)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 50.8%
- Game: Brewers vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Brett Baty to get a hit for NY Mets, showing an edge of 4.7% at +117 odds.
Kazuma Okamoto over 1.5 bases (+159)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 41.6%
- Game: Royals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)
Kazuma Okamoto’s bases prop shows an edge of 3.0% at +159 odds, supported by a 41.6% probability according to our model.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 2.5 bases (+279)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 33.4%
- Game: Royals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 2.5 bases for Toronto, with a 33.4% probability and a 7.0% edge at +279 odds.
Charles McAdoo to get an RBI (+305)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 28.5%
- Game: Royals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)
The data shows value on Charles McAdoo to get an RBI, supported by a 28.5% probability at +305 odds and an edge of 3.8%.
Brett Baty over 1.5 bases (+305)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 27.7%
- Game: Brewers vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)
A 3.0% edge on the over 0.5 bases line makes Brett Baty a value play in Brewers vs. Mets, supported by a 27.7% probability at +305 odds.
Ernie Clement over 2.5 bases (+346)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 25.3%
- Game: Royals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)
Simulations show value on Ernie Clement over 2.5 bases here, with a 25.3% probability and 2.8% edge at +346 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Thursday, August 27, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:14AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals vs. Blue Jays | Spencer Arrighetti o13.5 outs recorded | -121 @ DraftKings | 5.0% | 59.8% |
| Royals vs. Blue Jays | Myles Straw to get a hit | -123 @ DraftKings | 2.3% | 57.5% |
| Royals vs. Blue Jays | Charles McAdoo to get a hit | -119 @ DraftKings | 10.0% | 53.1% |
| Astros vs. Yankees | Hayden Wesneski o4.5 strikeouts | +132 @ FanDuel | 10.0% | 53.1% |
| Brewers vs. Mets | Brett Baty to get a hit | +117 @ DraftKings | 4.7% | 50.8% |
| Royals vs. Blue Jays | Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 bases | +159 @ DraftKings | 3.0% | 41.6% |
| Royals vs. Blue Jays | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o2.5 bases | +279 @ DraftKings | 7.0% | 33.4% |
| Royals vs. Blue Jays | Charles McAdoo to get an RBI | +305 @ DraftKings | 3.8% | 28.5% |
| Brewers vs. Mets | Brett Baty o1.5 bases | +305 @ DraftKings | 3.0% | 27.7% |
| Royals vs. Blue Jays | Ernie Clement o2.5 bases | +346 @ DraftKings | 2.8% | 25.3% |
Conclusion
For August 27, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Spencer Arrighetti, Myles Straw and Charles McAdoo. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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