MLB player props today: Monday's best props include Carlos Narváez [8/31/2026]

Carlos Narváez to get a hit (-169)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 65.9%
• Game: Orioles vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Baltimore's Carlos Narváez to get a hit. A probability of 65.9% gives this play an edge of 3.1% at -169 odds.

Anthony Kay over 3.5 strikeouts (-157)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 65.1%
• Game: White Sox vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

Anthony Kay’s strikeouts prop shows a 65.1% probability and an 4.0% edge at -157 odds, according to our model.

Cody Freeman to get a hit (-141)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 62.0%
• Game: Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

The data highlights value on Cody Freeman to get a hit, with simulations showing a 62.0% probability and a 3.5% edge at -141.

George Kirby under 17.5 outs recorded (-126)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 60.4%
• Game: Mariners vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET)

Our model finds value on George Kirby under 17.5 outs recorded, with a 60.4% probability and an edge of 4.7% at -126 odds.

Ian Seymour over 16.5 outs recorded (-128)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Game: Mets vs. Rays (6:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Ian Seymour over 16.5 outs recorded for Tampa Bay, showing an edge of 2.5% at -128 odds.

Danny Jansen to get a hit (-115)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 57.0%
• Game: Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Danny Jansen’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 3.5% at -115 odds, supported by a 57.0% probability according to our model.

LaMonte Wade Jr. to get a hit (-101)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Game: White Sox vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on LaMonte Wade Jr. to get a hit for Houston, with a 55.4% probability and a 5.2% edge at -101 odds.

George Kirby under 5.5 hits allowed (+113)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 55.0%
• Game: Mariners vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET)

The data shows value on George Kirby under 5.5 hits allowed, supported by a 55.0% probability at +113 odds and an edge of 8.1%.

Michael King under 5.5 strikeouts (+115)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 53.1%
• Game: Padres vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)

A 6.6% edge on the under 5.5 strikeouts line makes Michael King a value play in Padres vs. Reds, supported by a 53.1% probability at +115 odds.

Pete Alonso over 2.5 bases (+111)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 49.5%
• Game: Orioles vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Pete Alonso over 2.5 bases here, with a 49.5% probability and 2.1% edge at +111 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Monday, August 31, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:51AM ET:

Conclusion

For August 31, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Carlos Narváez, Anthony Kay and Cody Freeman. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.