MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include Dylan Cease [9/13/2026]

Dylan Cease under 2.5 walks allowed (-172)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 70.6%
• Game: Orioles vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Toronto's Dylan Cease under 2.5 walks allowed. A probability of 70.6% gives this play an edge of 7.3% at -172 odds.

Andrew Painter under 4.5 strikeouts (-149)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 68.2%
• Game: Phillies vs. Braves (1:35PM ET)

Andrew Painter’s strikeouts prop shows a 68.2% probability and an 8.3% edge at -149 odds, according to our model.

Colt Keith over 0.5 bases (-185)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 67.1%
• Game: Rockies vs. Tigers (12:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Colt Keith over 0.5 bases, with simulations showing a 67.1% probability and a 2.2% edge at -185.

Colt Keith to get a hit (-155)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 67.1%
• Game: Rockies vs. Tigers (12:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Colt Keith to get a hit, with a 67.1% probability and an edge of 6.3% at -155 odds.

John Peck over 0.5 bases (-150)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 66.3%
• Game: Rockies vs. Tigers (12:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on John Peck over 0.5 bases for Detroit, showing an edge of 6.3% at -150 odds.

John Peck to get a hit (-150)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 66.3%
• Game: Rockies vs. Tigers (12:10PM ET)

John Peck’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 6.3% at -150 odds, supported by a 66.3% probability according to our model.

Nick Pivetta over 4.5 strikeouts (-139)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 65.6%
• Game: Padres vs. Giants (7:20PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Nick Pivetta over 4.5 strikeouts for San Diego, with a 65.6% probability and a 7.4% edge at -139 odds.

Zach McKinstry to get a hit (-155)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 64.2%
• Game: Rockies vs. Tigers (12:10PM ET)

The data shows value on Zach McKinstry to get a hit, supported by a 64.2% probability at -155 odds and an edge of 3.4%.

Jacob Lopez over 4.5 strikeouts (-138)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 64.0%
• Game: Mariners vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET)

A 6.1% edge on the over 0.5 strikeouts line makes Jacob Lopez a value play in Mariners vs. Athletics, supported by a 64.0% probability at -138 odds.

Andrew Painter under 5.5 hits allowed (-128)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 63.6%
• Game: Phillies vs. Braves (1:35PM ET)

Simulations show value on Andrew Painter under 5.5 hits allowed here, with a 63.6% probability and 7.4% edge at -128 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Sunday, September 13, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:13AM ET:

Conclusion

For September 13, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Dylan Cease, Andrew Painter and Colt Keith. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.