MLB player props today: Monday's best props include Xander Bogaerts [9/14/2026]

Dimers' MLB player props are live for September 14, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Xander Bogaerts, Freddy Fermin and Jonah Tong.

Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Marlins vs. D-Backs and Braves vs. Cubs—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.

List of MLB prop picks for Monday, 9/14

Sourced from 120+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for September 14, ranked by probability.

Xander Bogaerts over 0.5 bases (-295)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 76.8%
• Game: Padres vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on San Diego's Xander Bogaerts over 0.5 bases. A probability of 76.8% gives this play an edge of 2.1% at -295 odds.

Xander Bogaerts to get a hit (-295)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 76.8%
• Game: Padres vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Xander Bogaerts’s to get a hit prop shows a 76.8% probability and an 2.1% edge at -295 odds, according to our model.

Freddy Fermin over 0.5 bases (-215)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 74.4%
• Game: Padres vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Freddy Fermin over 0.5 bases, with simulations showing a 74.4% probability and a 6.2% edge at -215.

Freddy Fermin to get a hit (-220)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 74.4%
• Game: Padres vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Freddy Fermin to get a hit, with a 74.4% probability and an edge of 5.7% at -220 odds.

Jonah Tong under 2.5 walks allowed (-202)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 70.2%
• Game: Orioles vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jonah Tong under 2.5 walks allowed for NY Mets, showing an edge of 3.3% at -202 odds.

Nick Lodolo under 2.5 walks allowed (-197)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 69.0%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)

Nick Lodolo’s walks allowed prop shows an edge of 2.7% at -197 odds, supported by a 69.0% probability according to our model.

Quinn Mathews under 2.5 walks allowed (-165)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 67.4%
• Game: Giants vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Quinn Mathews under 2.5 walks allowed for St. Louis, with a 67.4% probability and a 5.1% edge at -165 odds.

David Peterson over 1.5 walks allowed (-155)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 66.7%
• Game: Braves vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

The data shows value on David Peterson over 1.5 walks allowed, supported by a 66.7% probability at -155 odds and an edge of 5.9%.

Tarik Skubal under 1.5 walks allowed (-134)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)

A 9.4% edge on the under 1.5 walks allowed line makes Tarik Skubal a value play in Dodgers vs. Reds, supported by a 66.6% probability at -134 odds.

José Soriano over 1.5 walks allowed (-175)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Tigers vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Simulations show value on José Soriano over 1.5 walks allowed here, with a 66.6% probability and 2.9% edge at -175 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Monday, September 14, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:56PM ET:

Conclusion

For September 14, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Xander Bogaerts, Freddy Fermin and Jonah Tong. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.