Oct 6, 2026
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Read Article MLB postseason player props today: Tuesday's best props include Yoshinobu Yamamoto [10/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB player props today with projections for Tuesday's games.
Dimers' MLB player props are live for October 6, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Gavin Sheets and Chris Sale.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every postseason matchup and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market. Today, that includes Dodgers vs. Braves and Brewers vs. Padres.
List of MLB prop bets for Tuesday's playoffs, 10/6
Below are the top 10 MLB player props for October 6, ranked by probability.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto under 6.5 strikeouts (-125)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 61.0%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Braves (6:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Dodgers' Yoshinobu Yamamoto under 6.5 strikeouts. A probability of 61.0% gives this play an edge of 5.4% at -125 odds.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto under 4.5 hits allowed (-113)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Braves (6:00PM ET)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s hits allowed prop shows a 55.8% probability and an 2.8% edge at -113 odds, according to our model.
Gavin Sheets to get a hit (-110)
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Game: Brewers vs. Padres (9:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Gavin Sheets to get a hit, with simulations showing a 54.8% probability and a 2.4% edge at -110.
Chris Sale under 6.5 strikeouts (+120)
- Edge: 6.1%
- Probability: 51.5%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Braves (6:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Chris Sale under 6.5 strikeouts, with a 51.5% probability and an edge of 6.1% at +120 odds.
Ha-Seong Kim to get a hit (+130)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 50.0%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Braves (6:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Ha-Seong Kim to get a hit for Braves, showing an edge of 6.5% at +130 odds.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto under 17.5 outs recorded (+163)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 43.4%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Braves (6:00PM ET)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s outs recorded prop shows an edge of 5.3% at +163 odds, supported by a 43.4% probability according to our model.
Gavin Sheets over 1.5 bases (+240)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 34.1%
- Game: Brewers vs. Padres (9:30PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Gavin Sheets over 1.5 bases for Padres, with a 34.1% probability and a 4.7% edge at +240 odds.
Austin Riley over 1.5 bases (+230)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 32.6%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Braves (6:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Austin Riley over 1.5 bases, supported by a 32.6% probability at +230 odds and an edge of 2.3%.
David Hamilton over 0.5 to steal a base (+275)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 31.0%
- Game: Brewers vs. Padres (9:30PM ET)
A 4.4% edge on the over 1.5 to steal a base line makes David Hamilton a value play in Brewers vs. Padres, supported by a 31.0% probability at +275 odds.
Jake Cronenworth over 1.5 bases (+270)
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 29.3%
- Game: Brewers vs. Padres (9:30PM ET)
Simulations show value on Jake Cronenworth over 1.5 bases here, with a 29.3% probability and 2.2% edge at +270 odds.
MLB Playoffs player prop summary: Tuesday, October 6, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:46PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers vs. Braves | Yoshinobu Yamamoto u6.5 strikeouts | -125 @ DraftKings | 5.4% | 61.0% |
| Dodgers vs. Braves | Yoshinobu Yamamoto u4.5 hits allowed | -113 @ DraftKings | 2.8% | 55.8% |
| Brewers vs. Padres | Gavin Sheets to get a hit | -110 @ Fanatics | 6.1% | 51.5% |
| Dodgers vs. Braves | Chris Sale u6.5 strikeouts | +120 @ Fanatics | 6.1% | 51.5% |
| Dodgers vs. Braves | Ha-Seong Kim to get a hit | +130 @ DraftKings | 6.5% | 50.0% |
| Dodgers vs. Braves | Yoshinobu Yamamoto u17.5 outs recorded | +163 @ DraftKings | 5.3% | 43.4% |
| Brewers vs. Padres | Gavin Sheets o1.5 bases | +240 @ Fanatics | 4.7% | 34.1% |
| Dodgers vs. Braves | Austin Riley o1.5 bases | +230 @ BetMGM | 2.3% | 32.6% |
| Brewers vs. Padres | David Hamilton o0.5 to steal a base | +275 @ BetMGM | 4.4% | 31.0% |
| Brewers vs. Padres | Jake Cronenworth o1.5 bases | +270 @ BetMGM | 2.2% | 29.3% |
Conclusion
For October 6, 2026, our MLB postseason prop bets feature players such as Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Gavin Sheets and Chris Sale. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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