MLB player props today: Monday's best props include Michael Soroka [5/11/2026]

Dimers' MLB props are live for May 11, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Michael Soroka, Drew Rasmussen and Nathan Eovaldi.

Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Yankees vs. Orioles and Angels vs. Guardians, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.

List of MLB prop bets for Monday, 5/11

Sourced from 50+ total props today, below are the top ten MLB player props for May 11, ranked by probability.

Michael Soroka over 1.5 walks allowed (-166)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 67.8%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Our model has found value on Arizona's Michael Soroka over 1.5 walks allowed. A probability of 67.8% gives this play an edge of 5.4% at -166 odds.

Drew Rasmussen under 5.5 hits allowed (-157)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 65.9%
• Game: Rays vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Drew Rasmussen’s hits allowed prop shows a 65.9% probability and an 4.8% edge at -157 odds, according to our model.

Nathan Eovaldi over 1.5 earned runs (-167)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 65.5%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

The data highlights value on Nathan Eovaldi over 1.5 earned runs, with simulations showing a 65.5% probability and a 2.9% edge at -167.

Joey Cantillo over 3.5 hits allowed (-154)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 64.0%
• Game: Angels vs. Guardians (6:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Joey Cantillo over 3.5 hits allowed, with a 64.0% probability and an edge of 3.3% at -154 odds.

Trevor McDonald over 3.5 strikeouts (-148)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 63.2%
• Game: Giants vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Trevor McDonald over 3.5 strikeouts for San Francisco, showing an edge of 3.6% at -148 odds.

Michael Soroka over 4.5 hits allowed (-147)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 62.4%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Michael Soroka’s hits allowed prop shows an edge of 2.9% at -147 odds, supported by a 62.4% probability according to our model.

George Kirby under 5.5 hits allowed (-104)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 59.4%
• Game: Mariners vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on George Kirby under 5.5 hits allowed for Seattle, with a 59.4% probability and a 8.4% edge at -104 odds.

Drew Rasmussen under 4.5 strikeouts (-103)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 59.1%
• Game: Rays vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

The data shows value on Drew Rasmussen under 4.5 strikeouts, supported by a 59.1% probability at -103 odds and an edge of 8.4%.

Joey Cantillo over 5.5 strikeouts (-118)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 59.0%
• Game: Angels vs. Guardians (6:10PM ET)

A 4.9% edge on the over 4.5 strikeouts line makes Joey Cantillo a value play in Angels vs. Guardians, supported by a 59.0% probability at -118 odds.

Aaron Judge over 1.5 bases (-109)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Game: Yankees vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)

Simulations show value on Aaron Judge over 1.5 bases here, with a 57.2% probability and 5.1% edge at -109 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Monday, May 11, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:52PM ET:

Conclusion

For May 11, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Michael Soroka, Drew Rasmussen and Nathan Eovaldi. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.