MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Merrill Kelly [7/9/2026]

Dimers' MLB props are live for July 9, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Merrill Kelly, Jesús Luzardo and Andre Pallante.

Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Cubs vs. Orioles and Phillies vs. Reds, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.

List of MLB prop picks for Thursday, 7/9

Sourced from 135+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for July 9, ranked by probability.

Merrill Kelly over 3.5 strikeouts (-150)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 69.0%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Arizona's Merrill Kelly over 3.5 strikeouts. A probability of 69.0% gives this play an edge of 9.0% at -150 odds.

Jesús Luzardo under 2.5 walks allowed (-190)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 68.2%
• Game: Phillies vs. Reds (7:10PM ET)

Jesús Luzardo’s walks allowed prop shows a 68.2% probability and an 2.7% edge at -190 odds, according to our model.

Andre Pallante over 1.5 walks allowed (-136)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 64.7%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

The data highlights value on Andre Pallante over 1.5 walks allowed, with simulations showing a 64.7% probability and a 7.1% edge at -136.

Brady Singer over 1.5 walks allowed (-138)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 63.7%
• Game: Phillies vs. Reds (7:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Brady Singer over 1.5 walks allowed, with a 63.7% probability and an edge of 5.7% at -138 odds.

Joey Ortiz to get a hit (-148)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 62.3%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Joey Ortiz to get a hit for Milwaukee, showing an edge of 2.6% at -148 odds.

Griffin Canning over 3.5 strikeouts (-135)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 60.8%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Griffin Canning’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 3.4% at -135 odds, supported by a 60.8% probability according to our model.

Braxton Fulford to get a hit (-115)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 58.9%
• Game: Rockies vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Braxton Fulford to get a hit for Colorado, with a 58.9% probability and a 5.5% edge at -115 odds.

Bryan Torres over 0.5 bases (-118)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 58.9%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

The data shows value on Bryan Torres over 0.5 bases, supported by a 58.9% probability at -118 odds and an edge of 4.8%.

Bryan Torres to get a hit (-109)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 58.9%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

A 6.8% edge on the to get a hit line makes Bryan Torres a value play in Brewers vs. Cardinals, supported by a 58.9% probability at -109 odds.

Nathan Church to get a hit (-125)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

Simulations show value on Nathan Church to get a hit here, with a 58.4% probability and 2.9% edge at -125 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Thursday, July 9, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:52PM ET:

Conclusion

For July 9, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Merrill Kelly, Jesús Luzardo and Andre Pallante. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.