Mets vs. Braves prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [8/11/2026]
Get New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves predictions for MLB Tuesday.
MLB action continues on Tuesday at 7:15 PM ET as the New York Mets lock horns with the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park.
Martín Pérez (7-6, 3.14 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Braves, up against Nolan McLean (8-7, 3.51 ERA) for the Mets.
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Braves a slight edge with a 53.0% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's Mets vs. Braves matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Braves prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model gives the Braves a 53.0% chance of defeating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 63.5% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 58.7% chance of going over,.
Mets vs. Braves odds [8/11/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Mets +1.5 (-178) / Braves -1.5 (+170)
- Moneyline: Mets +119, Braves -117
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Braves picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Mets +1.5 @ -178 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Mets @ +119 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 8.5 @ -104 via Polymarket
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Braves game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Braves and Mets at Truist Park is scheduled to begin at 7:15 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
- Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
- Time: 7:15 PM ET/4:15PM PT
- Venue: Truist Park
Conclusion
We predict the Braves, with a 53.0% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
